Recent benchmark results on platforms like MathArena and arena.ai show Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants holding the top two math spots, leaving the third position contested among Google’s Gemini, Alibaba’s Qwen series, and Moonshot’s Kimi models. Chinese labs have narrowed gaps through efficient reasoning architectures and strong performance on AIME-style problems, while U.S. labs emphasize long-horizon agentic capabilities. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty around October model drops, with Google and Alibaba priced near 25% implied probability each due to competitive positioning and cost advantages. Key swing factors include any late-quarter releases or arena voting surges that could reorder lab rankings before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअक्टूबर के अंत में तीसरा सबसे अच्छा टेक्स्ट एरिना मैथ एआई लैब?
Google 25%
अलीबाबा 24%
ओपनएआई 13%
एंथ्रॉपिक 7%
$19,794 वॉल्यूम
$19,794 वॉल्यूम

25%

अलीबाबा
24%

ओपनएआई
13%

एंथ्रॉपिक
7%

मूनशॉट
5%

Baidu
3%

Z.ai
3%

Meituan
3%

एनविडिया
2%

मेटा
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

टेनसेंट
1%

DeepSeek
<1%

शाओमी
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Amazon
<1%

बाइटडांस
<1%

मिस्त्राल
<1%

StepFun
<1%

माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
Google 25%
अलीबाबा 24%
ओपनएआई 13%
एंथ्रॉपिक 7%
$19,794 वॉल्यूम
$19,794 वॉल्यूम

25%

अलीबाबा
24%

ओपनएआई
13%

एंथ्रॉपिक
7%

मूनशॉट
5%

Baidu
3%

Z.ai
3%

Meituan
3%

एनविडिया
2%

मेटा
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

टेनसेंट
1%

DeepSeek
<1%

शाओमी
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Amazon
<1%

बाइटडांस
<1%

मिस्त्राल
<1%

StepFun
<1%

माइक्रोसॉफ्ट
<1%
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent benchmark results on platforms like MathArena and arena.ai show Anthropic’s Claude Opus 5 and OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants holding the top two math spots, leaving the third position contested among Google’s Gemini, Alibaba’s Qwen series, and Moonshot’s Kimi models. Chinese labs have narrowed gaps through efficient reasoning architectures and strong performance on AIME-style problems, while U.S. labs emphasize long-horizon agentic capabilities. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty around October model drops, with Google and Alibaba priced near 25% implied probability each due to competitive positioning and cost advantages. Key swing factors include any late-quarter releases or arena voting surges that could reorder lab rankings before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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