The Democratic Party holds a 75% implied probability in the NJ-07 House race, driven by the district’s long-term demographic and registration shift toward Democrats, combined with early polling and rating upgrades that moved the seat from Lean Republican to Toss-up. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. faces a stronger Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, while broader midterm dynamics and historical patterns for first-term incumbents in competitive districts have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders appear to price in the potential for unified Democratic turnout in this swing area, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and national conditions through November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNJ-07 House Election Winner
NJ-07 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
23%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$241 वॉल्यूम
78%
Republican Party
$3,727 वॉल्यूम
23%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a 75% implied probability in the NJ-07 House race, driven by the district’s long-term demographic and registration shift toward Democrats, combined with early polling and rating upgrades that moved the seat from Lean Republican to Toss-up. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. faces a stronger Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, while broader midterm dynamics and historical patterns for first-term incumbents in competitive districts have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders appear to price in the potential for unified Democratic turnout in this swing area, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and national conditions through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$3,968समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a 75% implied probability in the NJ-07 House race, driven by the district’s long-term demographic and registration shift toward Democrats, combined with early polling and rating upgrades that moved the seat from Lean Republican to Toss-up. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. faces a stronger Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, while broader midterm dynamics and historical patterns for first-term incumbents in competitive districts have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders appear to price in the potential for unified Democratic turnout in this swing area, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and national conditions through November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$3,968समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a 75% implied probability in the NJ-07 House race, driven by the district’s long-term demographic and registration shift toward Democrats, combined with early polling and rating upgrades that moved the seat from Lean Republican to Toss-up. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. faces a stronger Democratic primary field ahead of the June 2 contest, while broader midterm dynamics and historical patterns for first-term incumbents in competitive districts have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders appear to price in the potential for unified Democratic turnout in this swing area, though the outcome remains sensitive to primary results and national conditions through November.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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