Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOH -10 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
OH -10 हाउस चुनाव विजेता
$17,836 वॉल्यूम
$17,836 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
33%
$17,836 वॉल्यूम
$17,836 वॉल्यूम
3 नव, 2026
रिपब्लिकन पार्टी
$7,492 वॉल्यूम
70%
डेमोक्रेटिक पार्टी
$10,344 वॉल्यूम
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$17,836समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$17,836समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Turner secured his party's nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary for the 10th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Kristina Knickerbocker, who prevailed in a fragmented six-way primary with just 33% of the vote. Traders' 73% implied probability for a Republican victory reflects Turner's long tenure since 2002, consistent double-digit margins—including 58% in 2024—and a substantial fundraising edge with over $550,000 cash on hand versus Knickerbocker's $34,000 as of mid-April. The suburban Dayton-area district's Trump +7 lean in 2024, along with Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report and others, bolsters the GOP hold amid stable national midterm dynamics ahead of the November 3 contest.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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