Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with an R+5 partisan voting index. Carey's 2021 special election win and 56.5% general election performance in the prior cycle, combined with his unopposed substantive primary victory in May 2026, reinforce his position. Leonard emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but confronts the district's established Republican tilt and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating as of mid-August. Limited available polling has shown some narrowing in isolated surveys, yet no significant shifts in voter turnout patterns, national conditions, or candidate events have altered the race fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural and incumbency advantages in pricing the Republican nominee well ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
$10,501 वॉल्यूम
$10,501 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
20%
$10,501 वॉल्यूम
$10,501 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$4,609 वॉल्यूम
78%
Democratic Party
$5,891 वॉल्यूम
20%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with an R+5 partisan voting index. Carey's 2021 special election win and 56.5% general election performance in the prior cycle, combined with his unopposed substantive primary victory in May 2026, reinforce his position. Leonard emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but confronts the district's established Republican tilt and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating as of mid-August. Limited available polling has shown some narrowing in isolated surveys, yet no significant shifts in voter turnout patterns, national conditions, or candidate events have altered the race fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural and incumbency advantages in pricing the Republican nominee well ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$10,501समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with an R+5 partisan voting index. Carey's 2021 special election win and 56.5% general election performance in the prior cycle, combined with his unopposed substantive primary victory in May 2026, reinforce his position. Leonard emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but confronts the district's established Republican tilt and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating as of mid-August. Limited available polling has shown some narrowing in isolated surveys, yet no significant shifts in voter turnout patterns, national conditions, or candidate events have altered the race fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural and incumbency advantages in pricing the Republican nominee well ahead.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$10,501समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Carey faces Democrat Don Leonard in Ohio's 15th congressional district, a suburban Columbus area with an R+5 partisan voting index. Carey's 2021 special election win and 56.5% general election performance in the prior cycle, combined with his unopposed substantive primary victory in May 2026, reinforce his position. Leonard emerged from a competitive Democratic primary but confronts the district's established Republican tilt and the Cook Political Report's Solid R rating as of mid-August. Limited available polling has shown some narrowing in isolated surveys, yet no significant shifts in voter turnout patterns, national conditions, or candidate events have altered the race fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus reflects these structural and incumbency advantages in pricing the Republican nominee well ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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