Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Don Leonard (D), who narrowly defeated Adam Miller 53%-47%, in the Solid Republican-rated OH-15 district. Carey's consistent victories—56.5% in 2024, 57% in 2022—reflect the district's partisan lean, where Donald Trump won 54.7% in the 2024 presidential race, per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball assessments deeming it Safe or Solid R. Absent polls showing a contest, trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans underscores incumbency advantage and historical margins ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this central Ohio seat spanning six counties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOH-15 House Election Winner
OH-15 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
26%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Republican Party
$1,358 वॉल्यूम
74%
Democratic Party
$2,995 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Don Leonard (D), who narrowly defeated Adam Miller 53%-47%, in the Solid Republican-rated OH-15 district. Carey's consistent victories—56.5% in 2024, 57% in 2022—reflect the district's partisan lean, where Donald Trump won 54.7% in the 2024 presidential race, per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball assessments deeming it Safe or Solid R. Absent polls showing a contest, trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans underscores incumbency advantage and historical margins ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this central Ohio seat spanning six counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,353समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Don Leonard (D), who narrowly defeated Adam Miller 53%-47%, in the Solid Republican-rated OH-15 district. Carey's consistent victories—56.5% in 2024, 57% in 2022—reflect the district's partisan lean, where Donald Trump won 54.7% in the 2024 presidential race, per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball assessments deeming it Safe or Solid R. Absent polls showing a contest, trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans underscores incumbency advantage and historical margins ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this central Ohio seat spanning six counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,353समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Mike Carey (R) secured the Republican nomination unopposed in the May 5 Ohio primary, setting up a general election matchup against Don Leonard (D), who narrowly defeated Adam Miller 53%-47%, in the Solid Republican-rated OH-15 district. Carey's consistent victories—56.5% in 2024, 57% in 2022—reflect the district's partisan lean, where Donald Trump won 54.7% in the 2024 presidential race, per Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball assessments deeming it Safe or Solid R. Absent polls showing a contest, trader consensus at 73.5% for Republicans underscores incumbency advantage and historical margins ahead of the November 3 ballot, though national midterm dynamics could influence turnout in this central Ohio seat spanning six counties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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