OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra has cleared its internal “critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development after the Hugging Face incident, has anchored trader expectations for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon,” with advanced cyber capabilities initially limited to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program, while a full system card will accompany launch. This official signal, combined with Astra’s demonstrated 100% ExploitBench performance and improved refusal rates on jailbreaks, has produced strong market-implied odds for September 3. Traders appear to interpret “soon” against OpenAI’s historical pattern of rapid follow-through once safety reviews conclude, though any last-minute regulatory or internal adjustments could still shift the exact timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया3 सितंबर 81.0%
4 सितंबर 6.0%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 2.9%
10 सितंबर 2.2%
नया
$54,400 वॉल्यूम
नया
$54,400 वॉल्यूम
3 सित, 2026
3 सितंबर
81%
4 सितंबर
6%
5 सितंबर
1%
6 सितंबर
1%
7 सितम्बर
2%
8 सितंबर
<1%
9 सितंबर
1%
10 सितंबर
2%
11 सितंबर
1%
12 सितंबर
1%
13 सितंबर
1%
14 सितंबर
1%
15 सितंबर
1%
16 सितंबर
1%
17 सितंबर
1%
18 सितंबर
1%
19 सितंबर
1%
20 सितंबर
1%
21 सितंबर
1%
22 सितंबर
1%
23 सितंबर
1%
24 सितंबर
1%
25 सितंबर
1%
26 सितंबर
1%
27 सितंबर
2%
28 सितंबर
1%
29 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर
1%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
3%
3 सितंबर 81.0%
4 सितंबर 6.0%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं 2.9%
10 सितंबर 2.2%
नया
$54,400 वॉल्यूम
नया
$54,400 वॉल्यूम
3 सित, 2026
3 सितंबर
$18,257 वॉल्यूम
81%
4 सितंबर
$4,330 वॉल्यूम
6%
5 सितंबर
$2,202 वॉल्यूम
1%
6 सितंबर
$892 वॉल्यूम
1%
7 सितम्बर
$961 वॉल्यूम
2%
8 सितंबर
$1,015 वॉल्यूम
<1%
9 सितंबर
$808 वॉल्यूम
1%
10 सितंबर
$1,280 वॉल्यूम
2%
11 सितंबर
$756 वॉल्यूम
1%
12 सितंबर
$733 वॉल्यूम
1%
13 सितंबर
$834 वॉल्यूम
1%
14 सितंबर
$766 वॉल्यूम
1%
15 सितंबर
$1,185 वॉल्यूम
1%
16 सितंबर
$855 वॉल्यूम
1%
17 सितंबर
$928 वॉल्यूम
1%
18 सितंबर
$755 वॉल्यूम
1%
19 सितंबर
$755 वॉल्यूम
1%
20 सितंबर
$855 वॉल्यूम
1%
21 सितंबर
$1,038 वॉल्यूम
1%
22 सितंबर
$755 वॉल्यूम
1%
23 सितंबर
$902 वॉल्यूम
1%
24 सितंबर
$1,803 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 सितंबर
$1,015 वॉल्यूम
1%
26 सितंबर
$802 वॉल्यूम
1%
27 सितंबर
$1,660 वॉल्यूम
2%
28 सितंबर
$1,121 वॉल्यूम
1%
29 सितंबर
$755 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 सितंबर
$765 वॉल्यूम
1%
30 सितंबर तक कोई रिलीज़ नहीं
$2,384 वॉल्यूम
3%
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra has cleared its internal “critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development after the Hugging Face incident, has anchored trader expectations for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon,” with advanced cyber capabilities initially limited to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program, while a full system card will accompany launch. This official signal, combined with Astra’s demonstrated 100% ExploitBench performance and improved refusal rates on jailbreaks, has produced strong market-implied odds for September 3. Traders appear to interpret “soon” against OpenAI’s historical pattern of rapid follow-through once safety reviews conclude, though any last-minute regulatory or internal adjustments could still shift the exact timing.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$54,400समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra has cleared its internal “critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development after the Hugging Face incident, has anchored trader expectations for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon,” with advanced cyber capabilities initially limited to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program, while a full system card will accompany launch. This official signal, combined with Astra’s demonstrated 100% ExploitBench performance and improved refusal rates on jailbreaks, has produced strong market-implied odds for September 3. Traders appear to interpret “soon” against OpenAI’s historical pattern of rapid follow-through once safety reviews conclude, though any last-minute regulatory or internal adjustments could still shift the exact timing.
On August 1, 2026, OpenAI publicly disclosed "Astra," describing an internal version of Astra as its "next major model." You can read more about that here: https://openai.com/index/ten-advances-in-mathematics/.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's "Astra" model, or a model confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement described above, is made available to the general public.
A qualifying model must be named "Astra" (including variants or successor branding such as Astra 1, Astra 6, Astra X, GPT-6 Astra, or similar naming or rebranded versions) or be confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement by OpenAI or by a consensus of credible reporting.
Products labeled as GPT-5.7, GPT-6, or similar will only count if they are confirmed to be the same model referenced in the announcement.
For this market to resolve according to a given date, the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$54,400समाप्ति तिथि
30 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 1, 2026, 11:34 AM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI’s September 1 announcement that Astra has cleared its internal “critical” cybersecurity threshold under the Preparedness Framework, following weeks of paused development after the Hugging Face incident, has anchored trader expectations for an immediate release. The company stated it plans to make the model available “soon,” with advanced cyber capabilities initially limited to select testers and the Daybreak Blue program, while a full system card will accompany launch. This official signal, combined with Astra’s demonstrated 100% ExploitBench performance and improved refusal rates on jailbreaks, has produced strong market-implied odds for September 3. Traders appear to interpret “soon” against OpenAI’s historical pattern of rapid follow-through once safety reviews conclude, though any last-minute regulatory or internal adjustments could still shift the exact timing.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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