Oregon’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, benefits from this alignment across the western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where she secured reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. The upcoming May 19 primary features a low-profile Democratic challenger, while Republican contenders operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic victories for over a decade. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a significant scandal or abrupt withdrawal, could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
नया
नया
3 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,711 वॉल्यूम
94%
Republican Party
$90 वॉल्यूम
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, benefits from this alignment across the western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where she secured reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. The upcoming May 19 primary features a low-profile Democratic challenger, while Republican contenders operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic victories for over a decade. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a significant scandal or abrupt withdrawal, could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,801समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oregon’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, benefits from this alignment across the western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where she secured reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. The upcoming May 19 primary features a low-profile Democratic challenger, while Republican contenders operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic victories for over a decade. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a significant scandal or abrupt withdrawal, could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$2,801समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oregon’s 1st Congressional District maintains a pronounced Democratic structural edge, reflected in its D+20 Partisan Voter Index and consistent ratings as a safe seat by major forecasters. Incumbent Representative Suzanne Bonamici, first elected in 2012, benefits from this alignment across the western Portland suburbs and coastal areas, where she secured reelection by wide margins in prior cycles. The upcoming May 19 primary features a low-profile Democratic challenger, while Republican contenders operate in a district that has delivered double-digit Democratic victories for over a decade. Trader consensus at 93.5% Democratic probability aligns with these fundamentals. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a significant scandal or abrupt withdrawal, could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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