Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in November for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat's D+20 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and location in the urban and suburban Portland corridor underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive general-election polling or major developments altering the outlook since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle shifts, such as an unforeseen national wave or significant candidate-specific events, to meaningfully impact the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOR-01 House Election Winner
OR-01 House Election Winner
$24,126 वॉल्यूम
$24,126 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$24,126 वॉल्यूम
$24,126 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,566 वॉल्यूम
95%
Republican Party
$13,560 वॉल्यूम
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in November for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat's D+20 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and location in the urban and suburban Portland corridor underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive general-election polling or major developments altering the outlook since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle shifts, such as an unforeseen national wave or significant candidate-specific events, to meaningfully impact the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$24,126समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in November for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat's D+20 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and location in the urban and suburban Portland corridor underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive general-election polling or major developments altering the outlook since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle shifts, such as an unforeseen national wave or significant candidate-specific events, to meaningfully impact the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$24,126समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Suzanne Bonamici secured her party's nomination with over 86 percent in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Barbara Kahl in November for Oregon's 1st congressional district. The seat's D+20 partisan voter index, consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, and location in the urban and suburban Portland corridor underpin the trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, with no competitive general-election polling or major developments altering the outlook since the primaries. Scenarios that could narrow the gap remain limited and would require substantial late-cycle shifts, such as an unforeseen national wave or significant candidate-specific events, to meaningfully impact the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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