Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPA-01 House Election Winner
PA-01 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
55%
Republican Party
44%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$682 वॉल्यूम
55%
Republican Party
$1,022 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,703समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$1,703समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Fitzpatrick holds a slight edge in trader consensus for Pennsylvania's 1st Congressional District House race, reflecting his proven moderation, 56% victory margin in 2024, and dominant fundraising with over $7 million cash-on-hand as of recent FEC reports. The D+1 district remains closely contested ahead of May 19 primaries, where Fitzpatrick faces minimal GOP primary opposition while Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie dominates Democratic primary prediction markets at around 90%, positioning a general election rematch. National Democrats target the seat amid Republicans' slim House majority, but absent new polls and with Cook rating it Likely R, incumbency and resources sustain the 55% GOP implied probability.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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