Strong northerly and southerly flows through Cook Strait, channeled by Wellington’s topography and the narrow gap between New Zealand’s islands, routinely produce gusts well above 100 km/h during winter. A major storm on 23 August 2026 generated a verified peak of 168 km/h at the exposed Mt Kaukau site, with additional readings exceeding 150 km/h at Baring Head, confirming that August’s maximum already far surpasses the 104 km/h threshold. Historical records from MetService and NIWA show that August maxima in Wellington frequently reach 110–140 km/h even in typical years, driven by frequent low-pressure systems crossing the Tasman Sea. With only hours left in the month and no forecast reversal capable of erasing the existing extreme, trader consensus at 99.5% for 104 km/h or above reflects this established observational baseline. Only an unprecedented downward revision of official gust data or a measurement error at all reporting stations could alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाअगस्त में दुनिया के सबसे हवादार शहर में हवा के झोंके
104 किमी/घंटा या उससे अधिक 99.5%
93 किमी/घंटा या उससे कम <1%
94 से 103 किमी/घंटा <1%
93 किमी/घंटा या उससे कम
1%
94 से 103 किमी/घंटा
<1%
104 किमी/घंटा या उससे अधिक
100%
104 किमी/घंटा या उससे अधिक 99.5%
93 किमी/घंटा या उससे कम <1%
94 से 103 किमी/घंटा <1%
93 किमी/घंटा या उससे कम
1%
94 से 103 किमी/घंटा
<1%
104 किमी/घंटा या उससे अधिक
100%
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 21, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
The resolution source for this market is the gust value in the wind group of NZWN's raw METAR/SPECI observations, encoded in knots (for example, "34020G45KT" denotes a 45-knot gust), as archived by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet (IEM) for station NZWN in network NF__ASOS ("New Zealand ASOS"). Gust speed is converted from knots using 1 kt = 1.852 km/h, rounded half-up to the nearest whole number. Because gusts are reported in whole knots, no observed gust converts to a value on a bracket boundary, so every observation maps to exactly one range.
The month's highest gust can be located via the IEM Data Calendar for NZWN: https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/hist.phtml?network=NF__ASOS&year=2026&month=8&mode=monthly&station=NZWN. Each calendar day displays that day's peak gust inline; clicking a day's date opens the daily Summary for NF__ASOS, where the Peak Gust column in the NZWN (Wellington) row shows the day's maximum. Ensure station NZWN is selected, as the NF__ASOS network includes other New Zealand stations. Note that the IEM calendar and summary pages display gusts in mph; resolution is based on the knot value in the underlying raw METAR, which IEM archives alongside each parsed observation and which can be used to independently verify any value.
If any observations are missing or unavailable, this market will resolve to the range containing the highest gust reported during the resolution window. Should the IEM archive be unavailable or discontinued, this market will resolve based on the equivalent raw METAR/SPECI observations for NZWN from another credible archive or the original reporting authority.
Strong northerly and southerly flows through Cook Strait, channeled by Wellington’s topography and the narrow gap between New Zealand’s islands, routinely produce gusts well above 100 km/h during winter. A major storm on 23 August 2026 generated a verified peak of 168 km/h at the exposed Mt Kaukau site, with additional readings exceeding 150 km/h at Baring Head, confirming that August’s maximum already far surpasses the 104 km/h threshold. Historical records from MetService and NIWA show that August maxima in Wellington frequently reach 110–140 km/h even in typical years, driven by frequent low-pressure systems crossing the Tasman Sea. With only hours left in the month and no forecast reversal capable of erasing the existing extreme, trader consensus at 99.5% for 104 km/h or above reflects this established observational baseline. Only an unprecedented downward revision of official gust data or a measurement error at all reporting stations could alter the outcome.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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