Democrats hold a consistent lead of roughly four to seven points on the generic congressional ballot, a standard midterm headwind for the president's party that historically produces net House losses. With Republicans defending a narrow majority near 218-220 seats amid roughly 40 competitive districts, this environment favors Democratic gains in battleground and suburban seats. Mid-decade redistricting has added a modest Republican tilt in several states, yet forecasts from Cook Political Report and consensus models still project Republican totals clustering in the low-to-mid 200s. Trader pricing across seat ranges reflects these dynamics, with uncertainty centered on turnout, late-campaign shifts, and the final map after court and legislative actions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2026 के मध्यावधि चुनावों के बाद रिपब्लिकन हाउस की सीटें?
2026 के मध्यावधि चुनावों के बाद रिपब्लिकन हाउस की सीटें?
190 से कम 26%
200-204 17.9%
195-199 15%
190-194 14%
$288,840 वॉल्यूम
$288,840 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
190 से कम
26%
190-194
14%
195-199
15%
200-204
18%
205-209
11%
210-214
9%
215-219
5%
220-224
3%
225-229
4%
230+
3%
190 से कम 26%
200-204 17.9%
195-199 15%
190-194 14%
$288,840 वॉल्यूम
$288,840 वॉल्यूम
2 नव, 2026
190 से कम
$35,129 वॉल्यूम
26%
190-194
$13,814 वॉल्यूम
14%
195-199
$32,644 वॉल्यूम
15%
200-204
$24,860 वॉल्यूम
18%
205-209
$40,227 वॉल्यूम
11%
210-214
$15,669 वॉल्यूम
9%
215-219
$11,463 वॉल्यूम
5%
220-224
$59,267 वॉल्यूम
3%
225-229
$24,767 वॉल्यूम
4%
230+
$31,001 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats hold a consistent lead of roughly four to seven points on the generic congressional ballot, a standard midterm headwind for the president's party that historically produces net House losses. With Republicans defending a narrow majority near 218-220 seats amid roughly 40 competitive districts, this environment favors Democratic gains in battleground and suburban seats. Mid-decade redistricting has added a modest Republican tilt in several states, yet forecasts from Cook Political Report and consensus models still project Republican totals clustering in the low-to-mid 200s. Trader pricing across seat ranges reflects these dynamics, with uncertainty centered on turnout, late-campaign shifts, and the final map after court and legislative actions.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$288,840समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.Democrats hold a consistent lead of roughly four to seven points on the generic congressional ballot, a standard midterm headwind for the president's party that historically produces net House losses. With Republicans defending a narrow majority near 218-220 seats amid roughly 40 competitive districts, this environment favors Democratic gains in battleground and suburban seats. Mid-decade redistricting has added a modest Republican tilt in several states, yet forecasts from Cook Political Report and consensus models still project Republican totals clustering in the low-to-mid 200s. Trader pricing across seat ranges reflects these dynamics, with uncertainty centered on turnout, late-campaign shifts, and the final map after court and legislative actions.
This market will resolve according to the Republican Party’s seat count in the U.S. House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 United States midterm election scheduled for November 3, 2026.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress. Where a seat is decided by a runoff, the runoff result will determine attribution of that seat.
Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected. If a member-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, between election day and the formal organization of Congress, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
House members elected as independents who formally caucus with, or, for newly elected members, who announce their intent to caucus with, the Republican party are included in the count. If the caucus decisions of members of the House elected as independents cannot be determined on the date of the election, this market may remain open until the earlier of (i) an announcement from the relevant members of their intents to caucus, or (ii) January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year. If no such announcement is made by January 4th, 11:59 PM ET of the following calendar year, the member will not count towards the seat count of any party.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, the United States Congress, and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$288,840समाप्ति तिथि
3 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democrats hold a consistent lead of roughly four to seven points on the generic congressional ballot, a standard midterm headwind for the president's party that historically produces net House losses. With Republicans defending a narrow majority near 218-220 seats amid roughly 40 competitive districts, this environment favors Democratic gains in battleground and suburban seats. Mid-decade redistricting has added a modest Republican tilt in several states, yet forecasts from Cook Political Report and consensus models still project Republican totals clustering in the low-to-mid 200s. Trader pricing across seat ranges reflects these dynamics, with uncertainty centered on turnout, late-campaign shifts, and the final map after court and legislative actions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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