With 163 of 193 UN member states already recognizing Israel, trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—under 5% for leaders like Lebanon and Saudi Arabia—to any of the 29 holdouts formally doing so by June 30 amid stalled normalization since the 2020 Abraham Accords. Recent de-escalation signals, including April Washington envoys' talks advancing Israel-Lebanon ceasefire implementation amid Hezbollah's weakening, provide a narrow diplomatic window, but Gaza hostilities, domestic politics in Arab League and OIC nations, and EU sanctions discussions pose formidable barriers. Potential US-brokered summits could shift odds, though rising global recognitions of Palestine further constrain prospects.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया30 जून तक कौन से देश इज़राइल को मान्यता देंगे?
30 जून तक कौन से देश इज़राइल को मान्यता देंगे?
$329,446 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
उत्तर कोरिया
2%
क्यूबा
1%
सऊदी अरब
3%
लेबनान
4%
अफगानिस्तान
1%
इराक
2%
पाकिस्तान
1%
सीरिया
3%
वेनेज़ुएला
1%
ट्यूनिशिया
3%
कुवैत
1%
कतर
3%
इंडोनेशिया
1%
मलेशिया
1%
बांग्लादेश
2%
$329,446 वॉल्यूम
उत्तर कोरिया
$30,279 वॉल्यूम
2%
क्यूबा
$47,290 वॉल्यूम
1%
सऊदी अरब
$19,169 वॉल्यूम
3%
लेबनान
$44,387 वॉल्यूम
4%
अफगानिस्तान
$17,200 वॉल्यूम
1%
इराक
$26,403 वॉल्यूम
2%
पाकिस्तान
$7,225 वॉल्यूम
1%
सीरिया
$12,783 वॉल्यूम
3%
वेनेज़ुएला
$86,306 वॉल्यूम
1%
ट्यूनिशिया
$1,188 वॉल्यूम
3%
कुवैत
$1,511 वॉल्यूम
1%
कतर
$2,244 वॉल्यूम
3%
इंडोनेशिया
$9,054 वॉल्यूम
1%
मलेशिया
$22,158 वॉल्यूम
1%
बांग्लादेश
$2,250 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With 163 of 193 UN member states already recognizing Israel, trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—under 5% for leaders like Lebanon and Saudi Arabia—to any of the 29 holdouts formally doing so by June 30 amid stalled normalization since the 2020 Abraham Accords. Recent de-escalation signals, including April Washington envoys' talks advancing Israel-Lebanon ceasefire implementation amid Hezbollah's weakening, provide a narrow diplomatic window, but Gaza hostilities, domestic politics in Arab League and OIC nations, and EU sanctions discussions pose formidable barriers. Potential US-brokered summits could shift odds, though rising global recognitions of Palestine further constrain prospects.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$329,446समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.With 163 of 193 UN member states already recognizing Israel, trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—under 5% for leaders like Lebanon and Saudi Arabia—to any of the 29 holdouts formally doing so by June 30 amid stalled normalization since the 2020 Abraham Accords. Recent de-escalation signals, including April Washington envoys' talks advancing Israel-Lebanon ceasefire implementation amid Hezbollah's weakening, provide a narrow diplomatic window, but Gaza hostilities, domestic politics in Arab League and OIC nations, and EU sanctions discussions pose formidable barriers. Potential US-brokered summits could shift odds, though rising global recognitions of Palestine further constrain prospects.
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$329,446समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 20, 2025, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With 163 of 193 UN member states already recognizing Israel, trader consensus assigns low implied probabilities—under 5% for leaders like Lebanon and Saudi Arabia—to any of the 29 holdouts formally doing so by June 30 amid stalled normalization since the 2020 Abraham Accords. Recent de-escalation signals, including April Washington envoys' talks advancing Israel-Lebanon ceasefire implementation amid Hezbollah's weakening, provide a narrow diplomatic window, but Gaza hostilities, domestic politics in Arab League and OIC nations, and EU sanctions discussions pose formidable barriers. Potential US-brokered summits could shift odds, though rising global recognitions of Palestine further constrain prospects.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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