Israel and Lebanon agreed on May 15 to extend their April 16, 2026, US-brokered cessation of hostilities by 45 days, enabling further direct negotiations aimed at a comprehensive security agreement, border demarcation, and disarmament of Hezbollah. Washington has scheduled additional political talks for June 2–3 and a Pentagon-led security track for May 29, building on prior rounds that produced the initial truce and commitments to full recognition of sovereignty. Israeli forces maintain positions in southern Lebanon while conducting limited operations against remaining Hezbollah infrastructure, and Lebanese authorities continue to press for full implementation of the truce amid periodic violations. These developments reflect sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation, though Hezbollah has signaled rejection of terms that require its disarmament, leaving the timeline for any permanent peace deal dependent on progress in the upcoming sessions and compliance by all parties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाIsrael x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?
$174,128 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
May 31
2%
$174,128 वॉल्यूम
May 31
$97,325 वॉल्यूम
2%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel and Lebanon agreed on May 15 to extend their April 16, 2026, US-brokered cessation of hostilities by 45 days, enabling further direct negotiations aimed at a comprehensive security agreement, border demarcation, and disarmament of Hezbollah. Washington has scheduled additional political talks for June 2–3 and a Pentagon-led security track for May 29, building on prior rounds that produced the initial truce and commitments to full recognition of sovereignty. Israeli forces maintain positions in southern Lebanon while conducting limited operations against remaining Hezbollah infrastructure, and Lebanese authorities continue to press for full implementation of the truce amid periodic violations. These developments reflect sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation, though Hezbollah has signaled rejection of terms that require its disarmament, leaving the timeline for any permanent peace deal dependent on progress in the upcoming sessions and compliance by all parties.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$174,128समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel and Lebanon agreed on May 15 to extend their April 16, 2026, US-brokered cessation of hostilities by 45 days, enabling further direct negotiations aimed at a comprehensive security agreement, border demarcation, and disarmament of Hezbollah. Washington has scheduled additional political talks for June 2–3 and a Pentagon-led security track for May 29, building on prior rounds that produced the initial truce and commitments to full recognition of sovereignty. Israeli forces maintain positions in southern Lebanon while conducting limited operations against remaining Hezbollah infrastructure, and Lebanese authorities continue to press for full implementation of the truce amid periodic violations. These developments reflect sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation, though Hezbollah has signaled rejection of terms that require its disarmament, leaving the timeline for any permanent peace deal dependent on progress in the upcoming sessions and compliance by all parties.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel and Hezbollah agree to a permanent peace deal by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A permanent peace deal refers to any agreement which explicitly indicates that military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah have ended or will permanently cease, or uses equivalent language clearly signaling a lasting end to military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah. Agreements that are explicitly temporary or which do not include a definitive agreement to end military hostilities between Israel and Hezbollah on a lasting basis (e.g. a temporary extension of the 10-day ceasefire agreement announced on April 16, 2026), will not qualify.
A qualifying agreement will be considered to have been established if either of the following conditions are met:
- Israel and Hezbollah each sign or formally adopt a written agreement (e.g. a treaty or multi-point agreement) which meets the above criteria.
- Both Israel and Hezbollah provide clear public confirmation that a qualifying agreement has been definitively established. Negotiations, statements of progress, or other statements which do not constitute a definitive announcement that a qualifying agreement has been reached will not count.
The inclusion of Israel and Hezbollah in a qualifying peace deal between multiple parties will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Israel and Hezbollah; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$174,128समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 16, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel and Lebanon agreed on May 15 to extend their April 16, 2026, US-brokered cessation of hostilities by 45 days, enabling further direct negotiations aimed at a comprehensive security agreement, border demarcation, and disarmament of Hezbollah. Washington has scheduled additional political talks for June 2–3 and a Pentagon-led security track for May 29, building on prior rounds that produced the initial truce and commitments to full recognition of sovereignty. Israeli forces maintain positions in southern Lebanon while conducting limited operations against remaining Hezbollah infrastructure, and Lebanese authorities continue to press for full implementation of the truce amid periodic violations. These developments reflect sustained diplomatic momentum under US facilitation, though Hezbollah has signaled rejection of terms that require its disarmament, leaving the timeline for any permanent peace deal dependent on progress in the upcoming sessions and compliance by all parties.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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