US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window ending around mid-August for resolving remaining issues including Strait of Hormuz navigation and nuclear limits. Indirect technical talks occurred in Doha in early July through Qatari and Pakistani mediators, with limited progress reported on maritime access and sanctions relief. In early August, President Trump stated that new negotiations were underway or imminent and described them as Iran’s final opportunity before further escalation, while Iranian officials denied any direct US engagement and emphasized discussions only with Oman. These conflicting signals, combined with the approaching August 31 market resolution date and the original MOU timeline, shape trader focus on whether high-level or direct attendance materializes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया31 अगस्त तक अमेरिका - ईरान शांति वार्ता के एक दौर में कौन शामिल होगा?
$72,239 वॉल्यूम
निक स्टीवर्ट
48%
Abbas Araghchi
32%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
31%
जारेड कुश्नर
29%
Steve Witkoff
28%
इशाक़ डार
27%
माजिद तख्त-रावांची
25%
Kazem Gharibabadi
24%
जे.डी. वेंस
27%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
मार्को रुबियो
6%
Rafael Grossi
16%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
2%
Esmail Qaani
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
$72,239 वॉल्यूम
निक स्टीवर्ट
48%
Abbas Araghchi
32%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
31%
जारेड कुश्नर
29%
Steve Witkoff
28%
इशाक़ डार
27%
माजिद तख्त-रावांची
25%
Kazem Gharibabadi
24%
जे.डी. वेंस
27%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
10%
मार्को रुबियो
6%
Rafael Grossi
16%
Masoud Pezeshkian
4%
Pete Hegseth
3%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
2%
Esmail Qaani
2%
Ahmad Vahidi
1%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
47%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy centers on implementing the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum, which set a 60-day window ending around mid-August for resolving remaining issues including Strait of Hormuz navigation and nuclear limits. Indirect technical talks occurred in Doha in early July through Qatari and Pakistani mediators, with limited progress reported on maritime access and sanctions relief. In early August, President Trump stated that new negotiations were underway or imminent and described them as Iran’s final opportunity before further escalation, while Iranian officials denied any direct US engagement and emphasized discussions only with Oman. These conflicting signals, combined with the approaching August 31 market resolution date and the original MOU timeline, shape trader focus on whether high-level or direct attendance materializes.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया


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