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icon for क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

icon for क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?

दिस 31

दिस 31

$7,763,925 वॉल्यूम

31 दिस, 2026
Polymarket

$7,763,925 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

31 दिसंबर

$791,291 वॉल्यूम

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on stalled negotiations over Strait of Hormuz access and Iran's nuclear program following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities and the June memorandum of understanding. As of mid-August 2026, direct and indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan remain deadlocked, with Iran rejecting US assertions of control over shipping lanes and conditioning any reopening on sanctions relief and an end to military pressure. Recent tanker incidents, intermittent strikes, and competing blockade measures have sustained economic and military friction without triggering a formal congressional declaration of war. Traders monitor White House statements on de-escalation timelines, Senate dynamics around any authorization requests, and regional diplomatic signals that could shift toward or away from escalated conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,763,925
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran tensions center on stalled negotiations over Strait of Hormuz access and Iran's nuclear program following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities and the June memorandum of understanding. As of mid-August 2026, direct and indirect talks mediated by Oman and Pakistan remain deadlocked, with Iran rejecting US assertions of control over shipping lanes and conditioning any reopening on sanctions relief and an end to military pressure. Recent tanker incidents, intermittent strikes, and competing blockade measures have sustained economic and military friction without triggering a formal congressional declaration of war. Traders monitor White House statements on de-escalation timelines, Senate dynamics around any authorization requests, and regional diplomatic signals that could shift toward or away from escalated conflict.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.

The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$7,763,925
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law. The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.

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"क्या अमेरिका आधिकारिक तौर पर ईरान के खिलाफ युद्ध की घोषणा करेगा...?" Polymarket पर 3 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 दिसंबर 3% (3¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 मार्च 0% पर है।

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