US officials have repeatedly affirmed that the Strait of Hormuz must remain free of transit tolls or fees under international maritime law, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no Gulf country supports charges and the administration opposing any Iranian or joint fee regime. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US “reimbursement” fee in July 2026 for security costs before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals, and no collections have occurred. Ongoing US naval escorts and sanctions pressure amid Iran tensions have kept the focus on open passage and flow restoration rather than revenue mechanisms. Markets reflect trader consensus around low implied probability of US charges by year-end, consistent with policy reversals and legal objections. Scheduled diplomatic or security talks could still influence outcomes before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$983,340 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
31 दिसंबर
6%
$983,340 वॉल्यूम
31 दिसंबर
$115,036 वॉल्यूम
6%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials have repeatedly affirmed that the Strait of Hormuz must remain free of transit tolls or fees under international maritime law, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no Gulf country supports charges and the administration opposing any Iranian or joint fee regime. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US “reimbursement” fee in July 2026 for security costs before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals, and no collections have occurred. Ongoing US naval escorts and sanctions pressure amid Iran tensions have kept the focus on open passage and flow restoration rather than revenue mechanisms. Markets reflect trader consensus around low implied probability of US charges by year-end, consistent with policy reversals and legal objections. Scheduled diplomatic or security talks could still influence outcomes before December 31.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$983,340समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials have repeatedly affirmed that the Strait of Hormuz must remain free of transit tolls or fees under international maritime law, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no Gulf country supports charges and the administration opposing any Iranian or joint fee regime. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US “reimbursement” fee in July 2026 for security costs before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals, and no collections have occurred. Ongoing US naval escorts and sanctions pressure amid Iran tensions have kept the focus on open passage and flow restoration rather than revenue mechanisms. Markets reflect trader consensus around low implied probability of US charges by year-end, consistent with policy reversals and legal objections. Scheduled diplomatic or security talks could still influence outcomes before December 31.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$983,340समाप्ति तिथि
1 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...US officials have repeatedly affirmed that the Strait of Hormuz must remain free of transit tolls or fees under international maritime law, with Secretary of State Marco Rubio stating no Gulf country supports charges and the administration opposing any Iranian or joint fee regime. President Trump briefly proposed a 20% US “reimbursement” fee in July 2026 for security costs before reversing course in favor of Gulf investment deals, and no collections have occurred. Ongoing US naval escorts and sanctions pressure amid Iran tensions have kept the focus on open passage and flow restoration rather than revenue mechanisms. Markets reflect trader consensus around low implied probability of US charges by year-end, consistent with policy reversals and legal objections. Scheduled diplomatic or security talks could still influence outcomes before December 31.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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