US and Israeli military operations in the ongoing 2026 Iran conflict have included repeated airstrikes on military targets across Kharg Island, Iran's primary oil export terminal that handles nearly all of its crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Strikes on March 13 and April 7 focused on air defenses, missile storage, and radar sites while deliberately sparing oil infrastructure. Iranian authorities have reinforced the island with additional personnel and man-portable air-defense systems in response. While options for occupation or naval blockade have been discussed to pressure reopening of the strait, no ground forces have been deployed to alter territorial control. Further strikes and any escalation in naval or amphibious activity remain the key near-term factors that could shift the island's status.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाखर्ग द्वीप अब ईरानी नियंत्रण में नहीं है...?
$43,117,523 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
4%
30 जून
9%
$43,117,523 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
4%
30 जून
9%
“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...“No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Kharg Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...US and Israeli military operations in the ongoing 2026 Iran conflict have included repeated airstrikes on military targets across Kharg Island, Iran's primary oil export terminal that handles nearly all of its crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Strikes on March 13 and April 7 focused on air defenses, missile storage, and radar sites while deliberately sparing oil infrastructure. Iranian authorities have reinforced the island with additional personnel and man-portable air-defense systems in response. While options for occupation or naval blockade have been discussed to pressure reopening of the strait, no ground forces have been deployed to alter territorial control. Further strikes and any escalation in naval or amphibious activity remain the key near-term factors that could shift the island's status.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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