Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes all same-sex activity with penalties up to execution, and the legal system provides no recognition of same-sex couples or unions, a stance reinforced by the Guardian Council, Supreme Leader authority, and conservative parliamentary dominance. Recent assessments through 2025 and into 2026 document ongoing enforcement, persecution of LGBTQ individuals, and new surveillance measures that further constrain rights advocacy, with no legislative proposals, court rulings, or policy shifts indicating movement toward legalization by the December 2026 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" aligns with these structural barriers rooted in Sharia-based governance. Only a fundamental regime transformation, constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented leadership change could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
2% संभावना
$79,172 वॉल्यूम
$79,172 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
हाँ
2% संभावना
$79,172 वॉल्यूम
$79,172 वॉल्यूम
30 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes all same-sex activity with penalties up to execution, and the legal system provides no recognition of same-sex couples or unions, a stance reinforced by the Guardian Council, Supreme Leader authority, and conservative parliamentary dominance. Recent assessments through 2025 and into 2026 document ongoing enforcement, persecution of LGBTQ individuals, and new surveillance measures that further constrain rights advocacy, with no legislative proposals, court rulings, or policy shifts indicating movement toward legalization by the December 2026 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" aligns with these structural barriers rooted in Sharia-based governance. Only a fundamental regime transformation, constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented leadership change could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$79,172समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes all same-sex activity with penalties up to execution, and the legal system provides no recognition of same-sex couples or unions, a stance reinforced by the Guardian Council, Supreme Leader authority, and conservative parliamentary dominance. Recent assessments through 2025 and into 2026 document ongoing enforcement, persecution of LGBTQ individuals, and new surveillance measures that further constrain rights advocacy, with no legislative proposals, court rulings, or policy shifts indicating movement toward legalization by the December 2026 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" aligns with these structural barriers rooted in Sharia-based governance. Only a fundamental regime transformation, constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented leadership change could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Iran legally recognizes marriage between two people of the same sex anywhere within Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Legal recognition refers to any law, constitutional amendment, or binding judicial decision that allows two adults of the same sex to marry with the same legal status as opposite-sex marriages under Iranian law.
Recognition must apply within Iran’s legal system and permit same-sex couples to enter a legally valid marriage recognized by Iranian civil or religious authorities. The recognition must be in force by the listed deadline.
The legalization of civil unions, domestic partnerships, or other forms of limited recognition that do not grant the legal status of marriage will not qualify.
Recognition of marriages performed abroad without permitting such marriages to be performed within Iran will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$79,172समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 17, 2026, 8:48 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x65070BE91...Iran's Islamic Penal Code criminalizes all same-sex activity with penalties up to execution, and the legal system provides no recognition of same-sex couples or unions, a stance reinforced by the Guardian Council, Supreme Leader authority, and conservative parliamentary dominance. Recent assessments through 2025 and into 2026 document ongoing enforcement, persecution of LGBTQ individuals, and new surveillance measures that further constrain rights advocacy, with no legislative proposals, court rulings, or policy shifts indicating movement toward legalization by the December 2026 deadline. Trader consensus at 98% "No" aligns with these structural barriers rooted in Sharia-based governance. Only a fundamental regime transformation, constitutional overhaul, or unprecedented leadership change could realistically shift the outcome before resolution.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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