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icon for ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

icon for ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

$23,477,143 वॉल्यूम

15 अग, 2026
Polymarket

$23,477,143 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

15 अगस्त

$60,914 वॉल्यूम

<1%

22 अगस्त

$31,848 वॉल्यूम

1%

31 अगस्त

$1,148,792 वॉल्यूम

2%

30 सितंबर

$438,584 वॉल्यूम

6%

31 अक्टूबर

$8,752 वॉल्यूम

10%

30 नवंबर

$9,572 वॉल्यूम

13%

31 दिसंबर

$3,995,446 वॉल्यूम

18%

30 जून, 2027

$236,858 वॉल्यूम

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s first supreme-leader transition since 1989, with the Assembly of Experts selecting his son Mojtaba Khamenei in early March. The move consolidated clerical and IRGC influence under a younger hard-line successor amid active conflict, while an interim council handled immediate powers. Recent weeks have featured internal reshuffles, battlefield adaptations signaling preparation for extended confrontation, and official efforts to counter speculation about Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and visibility. These events shape trader assessments of further leadership stability or additional shifts before any market resolution date, against the backdrop of sanctions pressure, regional military posture, and institutional continuity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,477,143
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s first supreme-leader transition since 1989, with the Assembly of Experts selecting his son Mojtaba Khamenei in early March. The move consolidated clerical and IRGC influence under a younger hard-line successor amid active conflict, while an interim council handled immediate powers. Recent weeks have featured internal reshuffles, battlefield adaptations signaling preparation for extended confrontation, and official efforts to counter speculation about Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and visibility. These events shape trader assessments of further leadership stability or additional shifts before any market resolution date, against the backdrop of sanctions pressure, regional military posture, and institutional continuity.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,477,143
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" Polymarket पर 14 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 30 जून, 2027 26% (26¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 दिसंबर 18% पर है।

आज तक, "ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" ने कुल $23.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 8, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 14 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "30 जून, 2027" 26% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "31 दिसंबर" 18% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।