The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes activated Iran’s constitutional succession process, including formation of an interim leadership council with the president, judiciary head, and senior clerics. By early March the Assembly of Experts reached consensus on Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, installing the 56-year-old son as the new supreme leader. He has since issued public directives on military readiness and Strait of Hormuz management, while the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has assumed expanded operational authority. This completed transition under wartime conditions has reduced near-term uncertainty around the top office, though questions persist over institutional stability and decision-making authority in the months ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$13,591,806 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
31 मई
5%
30 जून
14%
31 दिसंबर
35%
$13,591,806 वॉल्यूम
31 मई
$1,925,379 वॉल्यूम
5%
30 जून
$1,076,266 वॉल्यूम
14%
31 दिसंबर
$2,394,280 वॉल्यूम
35%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes activated Iran’s constitutional succession process, including formation of an interim leadership council with the president, judiciary head, and senior clerics. By early March the Assembly of Experts reached consensus on Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, installing the 56-year-old son as the new supreme leader. He has since issued public directives on military readiness and Strait of Hormuz management, while the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has assumed expanded operational authority. This completed transition under wartime conditions has reduced near-term uncertainty around the top office, though questions persist over institutional stability and decision-making authority in the months ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$13,591,806समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes activated Iran’s constitutional succession process, including formation of an interim leadership council with the president, judiciary head, and senior clerics. By early March the Assembly of Experts reached consensus on Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, installing the 56-year-old son as the new supreme leader. He has since issued public directives on military readiness and Strait of Hormuz management, while the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has assumed expanded operational authority. This completed transition under wartime conditions has reduced near-term uncertainty around the top office, though questions persist over institutional stability and decision-making authority in the months ahead.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$13,591,806समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 4:16 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in late February 2026 during joint U.S.-Israeli strikes activated Iran’s constitutional succession process, including formation of an interim leadership council with the president, judiciary head, and senior clerics. By early March the Assembly of Experts reached consensus on Mojtaba Khamenei as successor, installing the 56-year-old son as the new supreme leader. He has since issued public directives on military readiness and Strait of Hormuz management, while the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has assumed expanded operational authority. This completed transition under wartime conditions has reduced near-term uncertainty around the top office, though questions persist over institutional stability and decision-making authority in the months ahead.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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