The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$23,479,860 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
15 अगस्त
<1%
22 अगस्त
1%
31 अगस्त
2%
30 सितंबर
6%
31 अक्टूबर
10%
30 नवंबर
13%
31 दिसंबर
18%
30 जून, 2027
26%
$23,479,860 वॉल्यूम
15 अगस्त
$60,914 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22 अगस्त
$31,948 वॉल्यूम
1%
31 अगस्त
$1,148,876 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 सितंबर
$438,691 वॉल्यूम
6%
31 अक्टूबर
$8,802 वॉल्यूम
10%
30 नवंबर
$10,250 वॉल्यूम
13%
31 दिसंबर
$3,997,040 वॉल्यूम
18%
30 जून, 2027
$236,962 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,479,860समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,479,860समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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