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icon for ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

icon for ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?

$23,479,860 वॉल्यूम

15 अग, 2026
Polymarket

$23,479,860 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

15 अगस्त

$60,914 वॉल्यूम

<1%

22 अगस्त

$31,948 वॉल्यूम

1%

31 अगस्त

$1,148,876 वॉल्यूम

2%

30 सितंबर

$438,691 वॉल्यूम

6%

31 अक्टूबर

$8,802 वॉल्यूम

10%

30 नवंबर

$10,250 वॉल्यूम

13%

31 दिसंबर

$3,997,040 वॉल्यूम

18%

30 जून, 2027

$236,962 वॉल्यूम

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,479,860
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalation in the Iran conflict, triggered immediate succession proceedings. The Assembly of Experts conducted a closed selection process and unanimously elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader on March 9, establishing continuity within the clerical and Revolutionary Guards structures. This rapid transition amid military pressure, sanctions, and domestic economic strains has shaped trader assessments of additional near-term leadership shifts, with resolution tied to official Iranian confirmations of the supreme leader's status. Ongoing diplomatic and battlefield developments could still influence perceptions of regime stability through late 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.

An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,479,860
समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" Polymarket पर 14 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 30 जून, 2027 26% (26¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 31 दिसंबर 18% पर है।

आज तक, "ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" ने कुल $23.5 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार Mar 8, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 14 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" के लिए वर्तमान प्रबल दावेदार "30 जून, 2027" 26% पर है। निकटतम परिणाम "31 दिसंबर" 18% पर है। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं जैसे-जैसे ट्रेडर शेयर खरीदते और बेचते हैं।

"ईरान के नेतृत्व में बदलाव...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।