Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s first supreme-leader transition since 1989, with the Assembly of Experts selecting his son Mojtaba Khamenei in early March. The move consolidated clerical and IRGC influence under a younger hard-line successor amid active conflict, while an interim council handled immediate powers. Recent weeks have featured internal reshuffles, battlefield adaptations signaling preparation for extended confrontation, and official efforts to counter speculation about Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and visibility. These events shape trader assessments of further leadership stability or additional shifts before any market resolution date, against the backdrop of sanctions pressure, regional military posture, and institutional continuity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$23,477,143 वॉल्यूम
15 अग, 2026
15 अगस्त
<1%
22 अगस्त
1%
31 अगस्त
2%
30 सितंबर
6%
31 अक्टूबर
10%
30 नवंबर
13%
31 दिसंबर
18%
30 जून, 2027
26%
$23,477,143 वॉल्यूम
15 अगस्त
$60,914 वॉल्यूम
<1%
22 अगस्त
$31,848 वॉल्यूम
1%
31 अगस्त
$1,148,792 वॉल्यूम
2%
30 सितंबर
$438,584 वॉल्यूम
6%
31 अक्टूबर
$8,752 वॉल्यूम
10%
30 नवंबर
$9,572 वॉल्यूम
13%
31 दिसंबर
$3,995,446 वॉल्यूम
18%
30 जून, 2027
$236,858 वॉल्यूम
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s first supreme-leader transition since 1989, with the Assembly of Experts selecting his son Mojtaba Khamenei in early March. The move consolidated clerical and IRGC influence under a younger hard-line successor amid active conflict, while an interim council handled immediate powers. Recent weeks have featured internal reshuffles, battlefield adaptations signaling preparation for extended confrontation, and official efforts to counter speculation about Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and visibility. These events shape trader assessments of further leadership stability or additional shifts before any market resolution date, against the backdrop of sanctions pressure, regional military posture, and institutional continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$23,477,143समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s first supreme-leader transition since 1989, with the Assembly of Experts selecting his son Mojtaba Khamenei in early March. The move consolidated clerical and IRGC influence under a younger hard-line successor amid active conflict, while an interim council handled immediate powers. Recent weeks have featured internal reshuffles, battlefield adaptations signaling preparation for extended confrontation, and official efforts to counter speculation about Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and visibility. These events shape trader assessments of further leadership stability or additional shifts before any market resolution date, against the backdrop of sanctions pressure, regional military posture, and institutional continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$23,477,143समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ali Khamenei’s assassination in late February 2026 during U.S.-Israeli strikes triggered Iran’s first supreme-leader transition since 1989, with the Assembly of Experts selecting his son Mojtaba Khamenei in early March. The move consolidated clerical and IRGC influence under a younger hard-line successor amid active conflict, while an interim council handled immediate powers. Recent weeks have featured internal reshuffles, battlefield adaptations signaling preparation for extended confrontation, and official efforts to counter speculation about Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and visibility. These events shape trader assessments of further leadership stability or additional shifts before any market resolution date, against the backdrop of sanctions pressure, regional military posture, and institutional continuity.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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