Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel war against Iran, traders price just an 11% chance of a coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verified internal military challenges since early April reports of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) sidelining President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf's claims of six foiled US-backed plots. Recent focus has shifted to diplomatic escalations, including Strait of Hormuz threats and Iran's May peace proposals, signaling regime consolidation under IRGC control rather than upheaval. With six weeks left, the lack of defections, uprisings, or escalation signals reinforces stability, though late-breaking negotiations or war developments could alter dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$1,101,157 वॉल्यूम
$1,101,157 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
हाँ
$1,101,157 वॉल्यूम
$1,101,157 वॉल्यूम
30 जून, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel war against Iran, traders price just an 11% chance of a coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verified internal military challenges since early April reports of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) sidelining President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf's claims of six foiled US-backed plots. Recent focus has shifted to diplomatic escalations, including Strait of Hormuz threats and Iran's May peace proposals, signaling regime consolidation under IRGC control rather than upheaval. With six weeks left, the lack of defections, uprisings, or escalation signals reinforces stability, though late-breaking negotiations or war developments could alter dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,101,157समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel war against Iran, traders price just an 11% chance of a coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verified internal military challenges since early April reports of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) sidelining President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf's claims of six foiled US-backed plots. Recent focus has shifted to diplomatic escalations, including Strait of Hormuz threats and Iran's May peace proposals, signaling regime consolidation under IRGC control rather than upheaval. With six weeks left, the lack of defections, uprisings, or escalation signals reinforces stability, though late-breaking negotiations or war developments could alter dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Iran at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Iranian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Iranian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
वॉल्यूम
$1,101,157समाप्ति तिथि
30 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid the ongoing 2026 US-Israel war against Iran, traders price just an 11% chance of a coup attempt by June 30, driven by the absence of verified internal military challenges since early April reports of Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) sidelining President Pezeshkian and Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf's claims of six foiled US-backed plots. Recent focus has shifted to diplomatic escalations, including Strait of Hormuz threats and Iran's May peace proposals, signaling regime consolidation under IRGC control rather than upheaval. With six weeks left, the lack of defections, uprisings, or escalation signals reinforces stability, though late-breaking negotiations or war developments could alter dynamics.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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