Israel's airspace has remained open since fully reopening on April 9, 2026, following a ceasefire that ended closures triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets starting February 28 and subsequent retaliatory missile barrages. A May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport, amid fears of renewed attacks from Iran-aligned groups like Hezbollah, briefly heightened tensions but did not lead to shutdowns. Persistent regional instability, including shaky truce adherence and reports of potential Lebanon escalation, sustains trader caution for triggers such as airstrikes or drone incursions that historically prompt immediate closures. No major military developments have occurred in the past 48 hours, with airlines like Lufthansa and Wizz Air planning resumed flights by late May despite lingering EU advisories expired May 12.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$799,798 वॉल्यूम
31 मई, 2026
May 31
20%
30 जून
44%
$799,798 वॉल्यूम
May 31
$299,849 वॉल्यूम
20%
30 जून
$4,702 वॉल्यूम
44%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's airspace has remained open since fully reopening on April 9, 2026, following a ceasefire that ended closures triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets starting February 28 and subsequent retaliatory missile barrages. A May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport, amid fears of renewed attacks from Iran-aligned groups like Hezbollah, briefly heightened tensions but did not lead to shutdowns. Persistent regional instability, including shaky truce adherence and reports of potential Lebanon escalation, sustains trader caution for triggers such as airstrikes or drone incursions that historically prompt immediate closures. No major military developments have occurred in the past 48 hours, with airlines like Lufthansa and Wizz Air planning resumed flights by late May despite lingering EU advisories expired May 12.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$799,798समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israel's airspace has remained open since fully reopening on April 9, 2026, following a ceasefire that ended closures triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets starting February 28 and subsequent retaliatory missile barrages. A May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport, amid fears of renewed attacks from Iran-aligned groups like Hezbollah, briefly heightened tensions but did not lead to shutdowns. Persistent regional instability, including shaky truce adherence and reports of potential Lebanon escalation, sustains trader caution for triggers such as airstrikes or drone incursions that historically prompt immediate closures. No major military developments have occurred in the past 48 hours, with airlines like Lufthansa and Wizz Air planning resumed flights by late May despite lingering EU advisories expired May 12.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$799,798समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 4, 2026, 7:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israel's airspace has remained open since fully reopening on April 9, 2026, following a ceasefire that ended closures triggered by US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets starting February 28 and subsequent retaliatory missile barrages. A May 4 high alert at Ben Gurion Airport, amid fears of renewed attacks from Iran-aligned groups like Hezbollah, briefly heightened tensions but did not lead to shutdowns. Persistent regional instability, including shaky truce adherence and reports of potential Lebanon escalation, sustains trader caution for triggers such as airstrikes or drone incursions that historically prompt immediate closures. No major military developments have occurred in the past 48 hours, with airlines like Lufthansa and Wizz Air planning resumed flights by late May despite lingering EU advisories expired May 12.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न