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icon for इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?

इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?

icon for इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?

इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?

$26,916,915 वॉल्यूम

15 अग, 2026
Polymarket

$26,916,915 वॉल्यूम

Polymarket

15 अगस्त

$903,520 वॉल्यूम

1%

31 अगस्त

$990,211 वॉल्यूम

7%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and proxy threats from groups such as Hezbollah continue to shape trader assessments for Israeli airspace closure. Renewed military activity around the Strait of Hormuz in July 2026 followed the breakdown of an earlier ceasefire, prompting repeated temporary closures and reopenings between February and July. As of early August, the Tel Aviv FIR remains open with flights operating, though EASA advisories and a US Embassy security alert on August 1 highlight risks of short-notice disruptions. Traders assign low probability to closure by late August, reflecting the pattern of volatility without sustained full shutdown amid active diplomatic and security assessments. Scheduled regional developments could alter this trajectory if escalation intensifies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).

Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.

Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$26,916,915
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Ongoing US-Iran tensions and proxy threats from groups such as Hezbollah continue to shape trader assessments for Israeli airspace closure. Renewed military activity around the Strait of Hormuz in July 2026 followed the breakdown of an earlier ceasefire, prompting repeated temporary closures and reopenings between February and July. As of early August, the Tel Aviv FIR remains open with flights operating, though EASA advisories and a US Embassy security alert on August 1 highlight risks of short-notice disruptions. Traders assign low probability to closure by late August, reflecting the pattern of volatility without sustained full shutdown amid active diplomatic and security assessments. Scheduled regional developments could alter this trajectory if escalation intensifies.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).

Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.

Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$26,916,915
समाप्ति तिथि
31 मई, 2026
बाज़ार खुला
Jul 18, 2026, 3:16 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace. A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace. Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify. Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted). Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution. Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।

अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न

"इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?" Polymarket पर 18 संभावित परिणामों वाला एक प्रेडिक्शन मार्केट है। वर्तमान में, 31 अगस्त 7% (7¢¢ प्रति शेयर) की implied probability के साथ आगे है, उसके बाद 15 अगस्त 1% पर है।

आज तक, "इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?" ने कुल $26.9 million ट्रेडिंग वॉल्यूम उत्पन्न किया है जब से बाज़ार May 4, 2026 को लॉन्च हुआ। ट्रेडिंग गतिविधि का यह स्तर Polymarket समुदाय से मज़बूत जुड़ाव दर्शाता है और यह सुनिश्चित करने में मदद करता है कि वर्तमान संभावनाएँ बाज़ार प्रतिभागियों के गहरे पूल से सूचित हैं। आप इस पेज पर सीधे लाइव मूल्य गतिविधियाँ ट्रैक कर सकते हैं और किसी भी परिणाम पर ट्रेड कर सकते हैं।

"इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?" पर ट्रेड करने के लिए, इस पेज पर सूचीबद्ध 18 उपलब्ध परिणाम ब्राउज़ करें। प्रत्येक परिणाम बाज़ार की निहित संभावना को दर्शाने वाली वर्तमान कीमत प्रदर्शित करता है। पोजीशन लेने के लिए, वह परिणाम चुनें जो आपको सबसे संभावित लगता है, उसके पक्ष में ट्रेड करने के लिए "हाँ" या विरुद्ध ट्रेड करने के लिए "नहीं" चुनें, अपनी राशि दर्ज करें, और "ट्रेड" पर क्लिक करें।

यह एक खुला बाज़ार है। "इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?" के लिए वर्तमान अग्रणी "31 अगस्त" केवल 7% पर है, "15 अगस्त" 1% पर पास है। किसी भी परिणाम के पास मज़बूत बहुमत नहीं होने से, ट्रेडर इसे अत्यधिक अनिश्चित मानते हैं। ये संभावनाएँ रियल-टाइम में अपडेट होती हैं।

"इज़राइल ने अपना हवाई क्षेत्र बंद कर दिया...?" के समाधान नियम ठीक-ठीक परिभाषित करते हैं कि प्रत्येक परिणाम को विजेता घोषित करने के लिए क्या होना चाहिए — जिसमें परिणाम निर्धारित करने के लिए उपयोग किए गए आधिकारिक डेटा स्रोत शामिल हैं। आप इस पेज पर टिप्पणियों के ऊपर "नियम" अनुभाग में पूर्ण समाधान मानदंड की समीक्षा कर सकते हैं।