Recent developments have left US-Iran negotiations stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for a final agreement. As of mid-August, talks remain deadlocked over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets, with the ceasefire set to expire amid mutual accusations of violations. Pakistan and Oman continue mediation efforts, including indirect messaging and technical discussions, while US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have signaled openness to resuming diplomacy. Iranian statements emphasize compensation demands and preconditioned returns to prior commitments. These factors shape trader focus on whether high-level US or Iranian attendees participate in any new round before the December 31 deadline, amid broader regional diplomatic pressures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$144,763 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
जेरेड कुशनर
63%
अब्बास अराग़ची
45%
स्टीव विटकॉफ
43%
मार्को रुबिओ
43%
जे.डी. वेंस
42%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
35%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
43%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
43%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
33%
राफेल ग्रोसी
36%
इशाक डार
34%
काजम घरीबाबादी
21%
निक स्टीवर्ट
20%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
17%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
12%
इस्माइल क़आनी
7%
पीट हेगसेथ
6%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
5%
अहमद वहीदी
4%
$144,763 वॉल्यूम
जेरेड कुशनर
$7,972 वॉल्यूम
63%
अब्बास अराग़ची
$5,190 वॉल्यूम
45%
स्टीव विटकॉफ
$6,979 वॉल्यूम
43%
मार्को रुबिओ
$7,437 वॉल्यूम
43%
जे.डी. वेंस
$11,097 वॉल्यूम
42%
मोहम्मद बिन अब्दुलरहमान अल सानी
$8,645 वॉल्यूम
35%
मोहम्मद बाघेर ग़ालिबाफ
$11,231 वॉल्यूम
43%
मजीद तख्त-रावांजी
$8,544 वॉल्यूम
43%
मसूद पज़ेश्कियन
$7,906 वॉल्यूम
33%
राफेल ग्रोसी
$5,825 वॉल्यूम
36%
इशाक डार
$5,470 वॉल्यूम
34%
काजम घरीबाबादी
$14,348 वॉल्यूम
21%
निक स्टीवर्ट
$1,707 वॉल्यूम
20%
बद्र बिन हमद अल बुसेदी
$9,410 वॉल्यूम
17%
डोनाल्ड ट्रंप
$59 वॉल्यूम
12%
इस्माइल क़आनी
$9,113 वॉल्यूम
7%
पीट हेगसेथ
$2,478 वॉल्यूम
6%
मोज्तबा खामेनेई
$19,171 वॉल्यूम
5%
अहमद वहीदी
$2,181 वॉल्यूम
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments have left US-Iran negotiations stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for a final agreement. As of mid-August, talks remain deadlocked over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets, with the ceasefire set to expire amid mutual accusations of violations. Pakistan and Oman continue mediation efforts, including indirect messaging and technical discussions, while US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have signaled openness to resuming diplomacy. Iranian statements emphasize compensation demands and preconditioned returns to prior commitments. These factors shape trader focus on whether high-level US or Iranian attendees participate in any new round before the December 31 deadline, amid broader regional diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$144,763समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent developments have left US-Iran negotiations stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for a final agreement. As of mid-August, talks remain deadlocked over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets, with the ceasefire set to expire amid mutual accusations of violations. Pakistan and Oman continue mediation efforts, including indirect messaging and technical discussions, while US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have signaled openness to resuming diplomacy. Iranian statements emphasize compensation demands and preconditioned returns to prior commitments. These factors shape trader focus on whether high-level US or Iranian attendees participate in any new round before the December 31 deadline, amid broader regional diplomatic pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$144,763समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent developments have left US-Iran negotiations stalled following the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum that set a 60-day window for a final agreement. As of mid-August, talks remain deadlocked over the Strait of Hormuz, sanctions relief, and frozen assets, with the ceasefire set to expire amid mutual accusations of violations. Pakistan and Oman continue mediation efforts, including indirect messaging and technical discussions, while US officials including President Trump and Vice President Vance have signaled openness to resuming diplomacy. Iranian statements emphasize compensation demands and preconditioned returns to prior commitments. These factors shape trader focus on whether high-level US or Iranian attendees participate in any new round before the December 31 deadline, amid broader regional diplomatic pressures.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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