Israeli ground operations in southern Lebanon, launched in mid-March 2026 with multiple divisions advancing beyond prior lines toward the Litani River, form the core driver of positioning on entry into Tyre. IDF forces have expanded operations westward, issuing repeated evacuation orders for Tyre and surrounding areas—including a broad citywide directive in early June—while conducting dozens of airstrikes targeting Hezbollah infrastructure. Recent strikes in early June killed at least eight people and prompted further displacement, even as U.S.-brokered ceasefire talks produced temporary or partial agreements that Israel has described as contingent on Hezbollah halting attacks. Traders weigh the pace of these ground maneuvers and any renewed diplomatic pauses against the risk of deeper incursions or de-escalation that could delay or prevent entry into the coastal city.