Russia’s State Duma election, set for 18–20 September 2026 with multi-day and expanded electronic voting, produces closely matched trader probabilities centered on the low-to-mid 50s because 2021 turnout reached 51.7% and recent VTsIOM surveys project 51–53% participation. Kremlin expectations of at least 55% and public-sector mobilization efforts could lift figures, yet low campaign visibility, limited voter awareness, and wartime economic pressures have kept declared interest stable rather than elevated. Electronic voting and organized turnout in loyal regions introduce upside potential without clear signals of a broad surge, leaving the 50–56% bands favored while higher or lower brackets remain competitive.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाRussia Parliamentary Election: Turnout
53-56% 29.5%
56-59% 21.1%
50-53% 21%
59-62% 12.2%
$60,505 वॉल्यूम
$60,505 वॉल्यूम
<47%
5%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
21%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
21%
59-62%
12%
62%+
12%
53-56% 29.5%
56-59% 21.1%
50-53% 21%
59-62% 12.2%
$60,505 वॉल्यूम
$60,505 वॉल्यूम
<47%
5%
47-50%
8%
50-53%
21%
53-56%
30%
56-59%
21%
59-62%
12%
62%+
12%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 21, 2026, 3:46 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Russia Parliamentary election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used if official results are not available.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Russia’s State Duma election, set for 18–20 September 2026 with multi-day and expanded electronic voting, produces closely matched trader probabilities centered on the low-to-mid 50s because 2021 turnout reached 51.7% and recent VTsIOM surveys project 51–53% participation. Kremlin expectations of at least 55% and public-sector mobilization efforts could lift figures, yet low campaign visibility, limited voter awareness, and wartime economic pressures have kept declared interest stable rather than elevated. Electronic voting and organized turnout in loyal regions introduce upside potential without clear signals of a broad surge, leaving the 50–56% bands favored while higher or lower brackets remain competitive.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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