Recent August employment data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, anchors trader expectations for the September reading amid a labor market showing balance between job seekers and openings. Moderate job gains near revised breakeven levels—factoring slower labor force growth from reduced immigration and retirements—along with an uptick in participation to 61.6%, support the 36% implied probability on 4.1% and 26.5% on 4.2%. These outcomes reflect a closely contested range, with swing factors including sector-specific hiring in services and government, potential volatility in the household survey, and any pre-report indicators like claims or JOLTS. The September figure, due October 2, will resolve amid ongoing monetary policy considerations tied to inflation and maximum employment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया4.1% 36%
4.2% 27%
4.0% 19%
4.3% 12%
नया
नया
2 अक्टू, 2026
≤3.8%
4%
3.9%
5%
4.0%
19%
4.1%
36%
4.2%
27%
4.3%
12%
4.4%
5%
4.5%
5%
≥4.6%
3%
4.1% 36%
4.2% 27%
4.0% 19%
4.3% 12%
नया
नया
2 अक्टू, 2026
≤3.8%
$663 वॉल्यूम
4%
3.9%
$114 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.0%
$71 वॉल्यूम
19%
4.1%
$716 वॉल्यूम
36%
4.2%
$96 वॉल्यूम
27%
4.3%
$71 वॉल्यूम
12%
4.4%
$185 वॉल्यूम
5%
4.5%
$514 वॉल्यूम
5%
≥4.6%
$514 वॉल्यूम
3%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August employment data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, anchors trader expectations for the September reading amid a labor market showing balance between job seekers and openings. Moderate job gains near revised breakeven levels—factoring slower labor force growth from reduced immigration and retirements—along with an uptick in participation to 61.6%, support the 36% implied probability on 4.1% and 26.5% on 4.2%. These outcomes reflect a closely contested range, with swing factors including sector-specific hiring in services and government, potential volatility in the household survey, and any pre-report indicators like claims or JOLTS. The September figure, due October 2, will resolve amid ongoing monetary policy considerations tied to inflation and maximum employment.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,945समाप्ति तिथि
2 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent August employment data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, anchors trader expectations for the September reading amid a labor market showing balance between job seekers and openings. Moderate job gains near revised breakeven levels—factoring slower labor force growth from reduced immigration and retirements—along with an uptick in participation to 61.6%, support the 36% implied probability on 4.1% and 26.5% on 4.2%. These outcomes reflect a closely contested range, with swing factors including sector-specific hiring in services and government, potential volatility in the household survey, and any pre-report indicators like claims or JOLTS. The September figure, due October 2, will resolve amid ongoing monetary policy considerations tied to inflation and maximum employment.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for October 2, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
वॉल्यूम
$2,945समाप्ति तिथि
2 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Sep 4, 2026, 12:35 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htmरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent August employment data, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.1% and nonfarm payrolls rising 162,000, anchors trader expectations for the September reading amid a labor market showing balance between job seekers and openings. Moderate job gains near revised breakeven levels—factoring slower labor force growth from reduced immigration and retirements—along with an uptick in participation to 61.6%, support the 36% implied probability on 4.1% and 26.5% on 4.2%. These outcomes reflect a closely contested range, with swing factors including sector-specific hiring in services and government, potential volatility in the household survey, and any pre-report indicators like claims or JOLTS. The September figure, due October 2, will resolve amid ongoing monetary policy considerations tied to inflation and maximum employment.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न