Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed in March 2026 through a term extension for the sitting House of Representatives, shifting the vote to March 2027 alongside municipal contests. This adjustment followed prior delays and reflects ongoing procedural and logistical hurdles in the self-declared republic's electoral calendar. With the new date falling after the start of 2027, traders assign overwhelming probability to no parliamentary election occurring beforehand. The three main parties—Kulmiye, Waddani, and UCID—register minimal implied odds because any contest remains months away, though shifts in scheduling, security conditions, or further extensions could still alter timelines within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयासोमालीलैंड संसदीय चुनाव विजेता
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 95%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 3.0%
वदानी 2.9%
कुलमिये 1.9%
$94,636 वॉल्यूम
$94,636 वॉल्यूम

2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
95%

न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
3%

वदानी
3%

कुलमिये
2%
2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं 95%
न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी) 3.0%
वदानी 2.9%
कुलमिये 1.9%
$94,636 वॉल्यूम
$94,636 वॉल्यूम

2027 से पहले कोई चुनाव नहीं
95%

न्याय और कल्याण (यूसीआईडी)
3%

वदानी
3%

कुलमिये
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 3:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Somaliland House of Representatives (Golaha Wakiilada) election.
If no election takes place by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No election before 2027".
If an election takes place but the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will remain open until the certified results are released. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Somaliland Parliament.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Somaliland government, specifically the Somaliland National Electoral Commission (Komishanka Doorashooyinka Qaranka) (slnec.net).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Somaliland's parliamentary elections, originally slated for May 2026, were postponed in March 2026 through a term extension for the sitting House of Representatives, shifting the vote to March 2027 alongside municipal contests. This adjustment followed prior delays and reflects ongoing procedural and logistical hurdles in the self-declared republic's electoral calendar. With the new date falling after the start of 2027, traders assign overwhelming probability to no parliamentary election occurring beforehand. The three main parties—Kulmiye, Waddani, and UCID—register minimal implied odds because any contest remains months away, though shifts in scheduling, security conditions, or further extensions could still alter timelines within the resolution window.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया



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