Polymarket traders assign a leading 28% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing between $7,000-$7,500 by year-end 2026, narrowly ahead of $6,500-$7,000 at 20.5%, reflecting tight competition amid the index's recent hover near 7,444 following record Q1 profit margins of 13.4% and strong earnings beats. Upward pressure stems from analyst upgrades—Goldman Sachs to 7,600, JPMorgan and HSBC to 7,600-7,650—fueled by projected 2026 EPS growth of 12-22% driven by AI investments in tech leaders. Countervailing caution arises from sticky March core CPI at 2.6%, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed signals of elevated inflation risks, with narrow market breadth and Middle East tensions as key swing factors ahead of June FOMC and upcoming data releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाS&P 500 (SPX) 2026 के अंत में क्या बंद होगा?
S&P 500 (SPX) 2026 के अंत में क्या बंद होगा?
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$6,500-$7,000 18%
$7,500-$8,000 15%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$25,219 वॉल्यूम
$25,219 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
<$6,000
14%
$6,000-$6,500
15%
$6,500-$7,000
18%
$7,000-$7,500
29%
$7,500-$8,000
15%
>$8,000 से अधिक
13%
$7,000-$7,500 29%
$6,500-$7,000 18%
$7,500-$8,000 15%
$6,000-$6,500 15%
$25,219 वॉल्यूम
$25,219 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
<$6,000
$15,544 वॉल्यूम
14%
$6,000-$6,500
$1,479 वॉल्यूम
15%
$6,500-$7,000
$2,389 वॉल्यूम
18%
$7,000-$7,500
$1,114 वॉल्यूम
29%
$7,500-$8,000
$2,401 वॉल्यूम
15%
>$8,000 से अधिक
$2,293 वॉल्यूम
13%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign a leading 28% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing between $7,000-$7,500 by year-end 2026, narrowly ahead of $6,500-$7,000 at 20.5%, reflecting tight competition amid the index's recent hover near 7,444 following record Q1 profit margins of 13.4% and strong earnings beats. Upward pressure stems from analyst upgrades—Goldman Sachs to 7,600, JPMorgan and HSBC to 7,600-7,650—fueled by projected 2026 EPS growth of 12-22% driven by AI investments in tech leaders. Countervailing caution arises from sticky March core CPI at 2.6%, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed signals of elevated inflation risks, with narrow market breadth and Middle East tensions as key swing factors ahead of June FOMC and upcoming data releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$25,219समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket traders assign a leading 28% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing between $7,000-$7,500 by year-end 2026, narrowly ahead of $6,500-$7,000 at 20.5%, reflecting tight competition amid the index's recent hover near 7,444 following record Q1 profit margins of 13.4% and strong earnings beats. Upward pressure stems from analyst upgrades—Goldman Sachs to 7,600, JPMorgan and HSBC to 7,600-7,650—fueled by projected 2026 EPS growth of 12-22% driven by AI investments in tech leaders. Countervailing caution arises from sticky March core CPI at 2.6%, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed signals of elevated inflation risks, with narrow market breadth and Middle East tensions as key swing factors ahead of June FOMC and upcoming data releases.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
वॉल्यूम
$25,219समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETसमाधान स्रोत
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/historyResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a leading 28% implied probability to the S&P 500 closing between $7,000-$7,500 by year-end 2026, narrowly ahead of $6,500-$7,000 at 20.5%, reflecting tight competition amid the index's recent hover near 7,444 following record Q1 profit margins of 13.4% and strong earnings beats. Upward pressure stems from analyst upgrades—Goldman Sachs to 7,600, JPMorgan and HSBC to 7,600-7,650—fueled by projected 2026 EPS growth of 12-22% driven by AI investments in tech leaders. Countervailing caution arises from sticky March core CPI at 2.6%, steady 4.3% unemployment, and Fed signals of elevated inflation risks, with narrow market breadth and Middle East tensions as key swing factors ahead of June FOMC and upcoming data releases.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न