Recent reports indicate Conor McGregor is finalizing terms for a welterweight rematch against Max Holloway at UFC 329 on July 11 during International Fight Week in Las Vegas, driving the 82.5% trader consensus on that matchup. This stems from Holloway's expressed interest in avenging their 2013 loss, his ongoing training camp, and consistent sourcing from reporters like Ariel Helwani amid McGregor's extended absence since 2021. Alternative lightweight options such as Ilia Topuria or Benoît Saint Denis register lower probabilities as secondary considerations if the blockbuster bout does not materialize, reflecting the market's emphasis on the high-profile rematch narrative and historical context between the two fighters.