**Trader consensus centers on the 2.2–2.5 million Iranian rials per USD range (69.5%) for the free-market rate at end-September 2026.** This reflects the current street rate near 2.30–2.36 million rials per dollar, driven by sustained pressure from U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade since July, and sharply reduced oil exports that have limited hard-currency inflows. The rial has weakened markedly since the February 2026 conflict escalation, with the free-market rate crossing 2 million in late August and peaking near 2.36 million in mid-September amid inflation above 40% and IMF-projected GDP contraction. Official rates remain far lower (around 1.37–1.66 million), but markets price the parallel rate that governs most transactions. Limited central-bank interventions and minor policy adjustments, such as targeted gasoline price increases, have not altered the broader trajectory enough to shift the rate outside the leading band before month-end. Lower-probability outcomes (under 2.2 million or above 2.8 million) would require rapid de-escalation or major new shocks not evident in recent data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया2.2 से 2.5M 70%
2.5 से 2.8M 18%
<2.2M 10%
2.8 से 3.1 मिलियन 3.5%
$30,908 वॉल्यूम
$30,908 वॉल्यूम
<2.2M
10%
2.2 से 2.5M
70%
2.5 से 2.8M
18%
2.8 से 3.1 मिलियन
4%
3.1M+
1%
2.2 से 2.5M 70%
2.5 से 2.8M 18%
<2.2M 10%
2.8 से 3.1 मिलियन 3.5%
$30,908 वॉल्यूम
$30,908 वॉल्यूम
<2.2M
10%
2.2 से 2.5M
70%
2.5 से 2.8M
18%
2.8 से 3.1 मिलियन
4%
3.1M+
1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
बाज़ार खुला: Sep 4, 2026, 2:48 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If Iran redenominates the rial, or Bonbast changes the unit in which it displays the USD exchange rate, before the relevant figure has been finalized, the displayed figure will be converted into current Iranian rials at the official conversion ratio between the new unit and the current rial (for example, 1 new rial equals 10,000 current rials), and the converted figure will be used for resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus centers on the 2.2–2.5 million Iranian rials per USD range (69.5%) for the free-market rate at end-September 2026.** This reflects the current street rate near 2.30–2.36 million rials per dollar, driven by sustained pressure from U.S. sanctions, a naval blockade since July, and sharply reduced oil exports that have limited hard-currency inflows. The rial has weakened markedly since the February 2026 conflict escalation, with the free-market rate crossing 2 million in late August and peaking near 2.36 million in mid-September amid inflation above 40% and IMF-projected GDP contraction. Official rates remain far lower (around 1.37–1.66 million), but markets price the parallel rate that governs most transactions. Limited central-bank interventions and minor policy adjustments, such as targeted gasoline price increases, have not altered the broader trajectory enough to shift the rate outside the leading band before month-end. Lower-probability outcomes (under 2.2 million or above 2.8 million) would require rapid de-escalation or major new shocks not evident in recent data.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया

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