Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a substantial edge in trader assessments for Washington's 3rd congressional district, aided by her established name recognition, robust fundraising totals exceeding those of leading challengers, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district with a narrow Republican lean. The race is shaping up as a likely general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun following the August 4 top-two primary, with the November 3 general election still months away. Recent internal polling has shown mixed results, including some surveys placing Braun narrowly ahead, yet forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus appears to weigh Perez's proven ability to win in this swing district more heavily than early challenger momentum at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
8%
नया
नया
4 नव, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,136 वॉल्यूम
90%
Republican Party
$1,521 वॉल्यूम
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a substantial edge in trader assessments for Washington's 3rd congressional district, aided by her established name recognition, robust fundraising totals exceeding those of leading challengers, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district with a narrow Republican lean. The race is shaping up as a likely general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun following the August 4 top-two primary, with the November 3 general election still months away. Recent internal polling has shown mixed results, including some surveys placing Braun narrowly ahead, yet forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus appears to weigh Perez's proven ability to win in this swing district more heavily than early challenger momentum at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,657समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a substantial edge in trader assessments for Washington's 3rd congressional district, aided by her established name recognition, robust fundraising totals exceeding those of leading challengers, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district with a narrow Republican lean. The race is shaping up as a likely general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun following the August 4 top-two primary, with the November 3 general election still months away. Recent internal polling has shown mixed results, including some surveys placing Braun narrowly ahead, yet forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus appears to weigh Perez's proven ability to win in this swing district more heavily than early challenger momentum at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
वॉल्यूम
$4,657समाप्ति तिथि
4 नव, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a substantial edge in trader assessments for Washington's 3rd congressional district, aided by her established name recognition, robust fundraising totals exceeding those of leading challengers, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district with a narrow Republican lean. The race is shaping up as a likely general election matchup against Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun following the August 4 top-two primary, with the November 3 general election still months away. Recent internal polling has shown mixed results, including some surveys placing Braun narrowly ahead, yet forecasters rate the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic. Trader consensus appears to weigh Perez's proven ability to win in this swing district more heavily than early challenger momentum at this stage.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न