Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 62% market-implied odds through recent benchmark leadership on Artificial Analysis arenas, native audio generation with dialogue and effects, 4K support, and prompt adherence. Fresh September 2026 rollouts integrating Veo into Gemini apps and YouTube Shorts in new regions have reinforced accessibility and real-world momentum ahead of the late-October resolution. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 maintains competitive positioning via strong motion control and reference consistency in independent tests, while Kling 3.0 and Alibaba models like HappyHorse trail on odds despite 4K and editing strengths. OpenAI's low share reflects Sora 2's impending API sunset. Traders appear to weigh Google's ecosystem integration and recent updates most heavily in the final month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयागूगल 62%
बाइटडांस 25%
KlingAI 4.9%
अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH 3.3%
$41,420 वॉल्यूम
$41,420 वॉल्यूम

गूगल
62%

बाइटडांस
25%

KlingAI
5%

अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH
3%

मेटा
1%

पिक्सवर्स
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

टेनसेंट
1%

MiniMax
1%

पिका
1%

OpenAI
<1%

रनवे
<1%

प्रुना
<1%

कांडिंस्की
<1%

लूमा एआई
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

Lightricks
<1%
गूगल 62%
बाइटडांस 25%
KlingAI 4.9%
अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH 3.3%
$41,420 वॉल्यूम
$41,420 वॉल्यूम

गूगल
62%

बाइटडांस
25%

KlingAI
5%

अलीबाबा/अलीबाबा-ATH
3%

मेटा
1%

पिक्सवर्स
1%

SpaceXAI
1%

टेनसेंट
1%

MiniMax
1%

पिका
1%

OpenAI
<1%

रनवे
<1%

प्रुना
<1%

कांडिंस्की
<1%

लूमा एआई
<1%

Genmo AI
<1%

Lightricks
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
रिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 and Gemini Omni Flash models anchor the 62% market-implied odds through recent benchmark leadership on Artificial Analysis arenas, native audio generation with dialogue and effects, 4K support, and prompt adherence. Fresh September 2026 rollouts integrating Veo into Gemini apps and YouTube Shorts in new regions have reinforced accessibility and real-world momentum ahead of the late-October resolution. ByteDance's Seedance 2.0 maintains competitive positioning via strong motion control and reference consistency in independent tests, while Kling 3.0 and Alibaba models like HappyHorse trail on odds despite 4K and editing strengths. OpenAI's low share reflects Sora 2's impending API sunset. Traders appear to weigh Google's ecosystem integration and recent updates most heavily in the final month.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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