Official confirmation from Météo-France that summer 2026 delivered a record average temperature of 24°C across France, surpassing the 2003 benchmark by nearly a full degree, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for "Yes." Multiple intense heatwaves spanning 53 days, unprecedented 40°C readings in new regions, and a severe drought reinforced the outcome, with the data finalized after the season closed. While entertainment-style upsets like last-minute revisions rarely occur in climate records, any hypothetical measurement error or redefinition of "summer" boundaries could theoretically shift results, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and corroboration from multiple agencies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या गर्मी 2026 रिकॉर्ड पर फ्रांस की सबसे गर्म गर्मी होगी?
क्या गर्मी 2026 रिकॉर्ड पर फ्रांस की सबसे गर्म गर्मी होगी?
हाँ
>99% संभावना
नया
नया
30 सित, 2026
हाँ
>99% संभावना
नया
नया
30 सित, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.Official confirmation from Météo-France that summer 2026 delivered a record average temperature of 24°C across France, surpassing the 2003 benchmark by nearly a full degree, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for "Yes." Multiple intense heatwaves spanning 53 days, unprecedented 40°C readings in new regions, and a severe drought reinforced the outcome, with the data finalized after the season closed. While entertainment-style upsets like last-minute revisions rarely occur in climate records, any hypothetical measurement error or redefinition of "summer" boundaries could theoretically shift results, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and corroboration from multiple agencies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
बाज़ार खुला: Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,700समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.Official confirmation from Météo-France that summer 2026 delivered a record average temperature of 24°C across France, surpassing the 2003 benchmark by nearly a full degree, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for "Yes." Multiple intense heatwaves spanning 53 days, unprecedented 40°C readings in new regions, and a severe drought reinforced the outcome, with the data finalized after the season closed. While entertainment-style upsets like last-minute revisions rarely occur in climate records, any hypothetical measurement error or redefinition of "summer" boundaries could theoretically shift results, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and corroboration from multiple agencies.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Météo-France's official seasonal climate report, the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026," states that meteorological summer 2026 (1 June to 31 August 2026) is the warmest summer in France in the Météo-France record, which begins in 1900, as measured by the national average temperature ("température moyenne") calculated by Météo-France. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the avoidance of doubt, summer 2026 must be the single warmest summer on record. If Météo-France reports summer 2026 as tied for warmest with a prior year, or ranks it anything other than first, this market resolves to "No".
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
The primary resolution source is the "Bilan climatique de l'été 2026" published by Météo-France, the French national meteorological service which is typically published in the first week of September.
If the seasonal report has not been published by September 30, 2026, this market may alternatively resolve using the equivalent statement on the Météo-France seasonal summaries page (https://meteofrance.fr/actualite/publications/2026-les-bilans-climatiques) or in an official Météo-France press release covering the summer 2026 season.
If Météo-France has not published a summer 2026 climate summary by December 31, 2026, this market may resolve based on credible reporting (e.g., Reuters, AFP, France 24) confirming whether summer 2026 is the warmest summer on record.
वॉल्यूम
$1,700समाप्ति तिथि
1 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Aug 12, 2026, 11:18 AM ETOfficial confirmation from Météo-France that summer 2026 delivered a record average temperature of 24°C across France, surpassing the 2003 benchmark by nearly a full degree, has locked in overwhelming trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability for "Yes." Multiple intense heatwaves spanning 53 days, unprecedented 40°C readings in new regions, and a severe drought reinforced the outcome, with the data finalized after the season closed. While entertainment-style upsets like last-minute revisions rarely occur in climate records, any hypothetical measurement error or redefinition of "summer" boundaries could theoretically shift results, though such scenarios remain highly improbable given the scale of the anomaly and corroboration from multiple agencies.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न