U.S. policy toward Iran has centered on targeted airstrikes against military and defense infrastructure, naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, and troop deployments since early 2026, without any ground offensive to seize territory. President Trump has repeatedly prioritized diplomacy and sanctions pressure over large-scale invasion, rejecting Iran's latest ceasefire offer on May 11 while continuing indirect nuclear talks and emphasizing limited special operations options. These developments, combined with Pentagon assessments of high costs and risks associated with occupying Iranian soil, underpin the 69.5% trader consensus on "No" by December 31, 2026. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and Iranian responses to U.S. proposals remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाक्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
क्या अमेरिका 2027 से पहले ईरान पर हमला करेगा?
हाँ
$28,721,972 वॉल्यूम
$28,721,972 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$28,721,972 वॉल्यूम
$28,721,972 वॉल्यूम
31 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. policy toward Iran has centered on targeted airstrikes against military and defense infrastructure, naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, and troop deployments since early 2026, without any ground offensive to seize territory. President Trump has repeatedly prioritized diplomacy and sanctions pressure over large-scale invasion, rejecting Iran's latest ceasefire offer on May 11 while continuing indirect nuclear talks and emphasizing limited special operations options. These developments, combined with Pentagon assessments of high costs and risks associated with occupying Iranian soil, underpin the 69.5% trader consensus on "No" by December 31, 2026. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and Iranian responses to U.S. proposals remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
बाज़ार खुला: Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$28,721,972समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.U.S. policy toward Iran has centered on targeted airstrikes against military and defense infrastructure, naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, and troop deployments since early 2026, without any ground offensive to seize territory. President Trump has repeatedly prioritized diplomacy and sanctions pressure over large-scale invasion, rejecting Iran's latest ceasefire offer on May 11 while continuing indirect nuclear talks and emphasizing limited special operations options. These developments, combined with Pentagon assessments of high costs and risks associated with occupying Iranian soil, underpin the 69.5% trader consensus on "No" by December 31, 2026. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and Iranian responses to U.S. proposals remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
वॉल्यूम
$28,721,973समाप्ति तिथि
31 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Nov 5, 2025, 12:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy toward Iran has centered on targeted airstrikes against military and defense infrastructure, naval enforcement in the Strait of Hormuz, and troop deployments since early 2026, without any ground offensive to seize territory. President Trump has repeatedly prioritized diplomacy and sanctions pressure over large-scale invasion, rejecting Iran's latest ceasefire offer on May 11 while continuing indirect nuclear talks and emphasizing limited special operations options. These developments, combined with Pentagon assessments of high costs and risks associated with occupying Iranian soil, underpin the 69.5% trader consensus on "No" by December 31, 2026. Upcoming diplomatic rounds and Iranian responses to U.S. proposals remain the primary variables that could alter positioning before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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