Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open futures at 46% implied probability thanks to his dominant 2026 campaign, including a long win streak and multiple Masters 1000 titles that have built a commanding ATP rankings lead. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 32.5% despite withdrawing from the clay-court swing with a right wrist injury that has delayed his return and created uncertainty around his grass and hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic at 4.3% and the rest of the field trail further behind, reflecting inconsistent recent form and the difficulty of closing the gap on the top two before the North American hard-court season. Traders appear to be pricing in Sinner’s current momentum and Alcaraz’s proven hard-court record while monitoring recovery timelines and any potential late-season shifts in player availability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiJannik Sinner 46%
Carlos Alcaraz 33%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.1%
$1,444,620 Vol.
$1,444,620 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
46%
Carlos Alcaraz
33%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
Jannik Sinner 46%
Carlos Alcaraz 33%
Novak Djokovic 4.3%
Alexander Zverev 3.1%
$1,444,620 Vol.
$1,444,620 Vol.
Jannik Sinner
46%
Carlos Alcaraz
33%
Novak Djokovic
4%
Alexander Zverev
3%
Daniil Medvedev
2%
Taylor Fritz
2%
Arthur Fils
2%
Ben Shelton
1%
Jiri Lehecka
1%
Jack Draper
1%
Felix Auger Aliassime
1%
Hubert Hurkacz
1%
Joao Fonseca
1%
Alexander Bublik
1%
Jakub Mensik
1%
Frances Tiafoe
1%
Lorenzo Musetti
1%
Flavio Cobolli
1%
Holger Rune
1%
Andrey Rublev
1%
Matteo Berrettini
<1%
Grigor Dimitrov
<1%
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jannik Sinner leads the 2026 US Open futures at 46% implied probability thanks to his dominant 2026 campaign, including a long win streak and multiple Masters 1000 titles that have built a commanding ATP rankings lead. Carlos Alcaraz sits at 32.5% despite withdrawing from the clay-court swing with a right wrist injury that has delayed his return and created uncertainty around his grass and hard-court preparation. Novak Djokovic at 4.3% and the rest of the field trail further behind, reflecting inconsistent recent form and the difficulty of closing the gap on the top two before the North American hard-court season. Traders appear to be pricing in Sinner’s current momentum and Alcaraz’s proven hard-court record while monitoring recovery timelines and any potential late-season shifts in player availability.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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