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Pemilihan Umum·Prancis

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Pemilihan Umum·Prancis

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$53,783 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$53,783 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$3,570 Vol.

89%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$3,429 Vol.

88%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$2,084 Vol.

84%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$2,974 Vol.

73%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$468 Vol.

70%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$895 Vol.

55%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$818 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$1,615 Vol.

45%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$2,305 Vol.

55%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$275 Vol.

51%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$2,066 Vol.

50%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,335 Vol.

49%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$2,067 Vol.

44%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$81 Vol.

40%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$1,419 Vol.

40%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$1,220 Vol.

37%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$2,108 Vol.

29%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,346 Vol.

28%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$395 Vol.

16%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$4,360 Vol.

18%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$108 Vol.

27%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$688 Vol.

17%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$441 Vol.

15%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,751 Vol.

14%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$747 Vol.

12%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$596 Vol.

11%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$998 Vol.

10%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$767 Vol.

10%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,488 Vol.

15%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$1,151 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$161 Vol.

9%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$691 Vol.

8%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$496 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$863 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$350 Vol.

6%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$237 Vol.

13%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$1,034 Vol.

6%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$1,099 Vol.

5%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,573 Vol.

5%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$252 Vol.

5%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$343 Vol.

4%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$952 Vol.

4%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$477 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$148 Vol.

3%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$795 Vol.

2%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$746 Vol.

40%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,783
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 17, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2027 French presidential election features a wide-open field following Emmanuel Macron’s term limit, with the most immediate driver being the July 7, 2026 Paris Court of Appeals ruling on Marine Le Pen’s embezzlement conviction and potential five-year public-office ban. A upheld ineligibility would likely hand the National Rally nomination to Jordan Bardella, who already leads most first-round polling averages. Jean-Luc Mélenchon’s May 2026 confirmation of a fourth candidacy has consolidated much of the radical left but complicated efforts by Socialists, Greens, and other left-wing groups to organize a unitary primary. On the center-right, figures including Édouard Philippe, Gabriel Attal, and Bruno Retailleau are positioning themselves through local victories and party processes, while polls continue to show the far-right ticket favored to reach the runoff against a fragmented mainstream field.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,783
Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 17, 2027
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 46+ hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 89%, diikuti oleh "Édouard Philippe" di 88%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 89¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" telah menghasilkan $53.8K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 22, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," jelajahi 46+ hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" adalah "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" di 89%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 89% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Édouard Philippe" di 88%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.