**António Guterres is scheduled to complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026, with the formal selection process for his successor already underway through Security Council straw polls and interactive dialogues.** Recent August 2026 polling rounds have advanced candidates without any disruption or calls to shorten Guterres’s tenure, and he continues standard duties including statements on conflicts, food security, climate, and autonomous weapons. No verified diplomatic initiatives, Security Council actions, or institutional pressures have emerged to force an early departure, consistent with the established two-term precedent and the ongoing transition timeline targeting a January 2027 handover. Trader consensus reflected in the 79.5% “No” probability aligns with the absence of late-term removal mechanisms or acute political catalysts that would override the fixed end date.