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icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

icon for Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Next Secretary-General of the United Nations

Rebeca Grynspan 47%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 14.9%

María Fernanda Espinosa 11.1%

Rafael Grossi 4.3%

Polymarket

$199,734 Vol.

Rebeca Grynspan 47%

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett 14.9%

María Fernanda Espinosa 11.1%

Rafael Grossi 4.3%

Polymarket

$199,734 Vol.

icon for Rebeca Grynspan

Rebeca Grynspan

$20,529 Vol.

47%

icon for Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett

Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett

$3,834 Vol.

15%

icon for María Fernanda Espinosa

María Fernanda Espinosa

$7,504 Vol.

11%

icon for Rafael Grossi

Rafael Grossi

$28,275 Vol.

4%

icon for Macky Sall

Macky Sall

$121,640 Vol.

3%

icon for Michelle Bachelet

Michelle Bachelet

$12,166 Vol.

1%

icon for Olara Otunnu

Olara Otunnu

$3,049 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivonne de Baki

Ivonne de Baki

$2,742 Vol.

1%

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent top performance in recent Security Council straw polls, including nine encourage votes in the third round held September 18. The Costa Rican candidate, currently on leave from her UNCTAD role, benefits from regional group support and broader backing among the 15 Council members compared with Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, who placed second with eight encourage votes in the same poll. Multiple rounds of confidential voting continue without a P5 consensus or veto signals yet emerging, while lower-polling nominees such as María Fernanda Espinosa, Rafael Grossi, and others trail further behind. Interactive dialogues concluded earlier in 2026, and the process now centers on narrowing options ahead of a formal recommendation to the General Assembly before António Guterres’s term ends December 31.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,734
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rebeca Grynspan leads the trader consensus for the next UN Secretary-General due to her consistent top performance in recent Security Council straw polls, including nine encourage votes in the third round held September 18. The Costa Rican candidate, currently on leave from her UNCTAD role, benefits from regional group support and broader backing among the 15 Council members compared with Guyana’s Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett, who placed second with eight encourage votes in the same poll. Multiple rounds of confidential voting continue without a P5 consensus or veto signals yet emerging, while lower-polling nominees such as María Fernanda Espinosa, Rafael Grossi, and others trail further behind. Interactive dialogues concluded earlier in 2026, and the process now centers on narrowing options ahead of a formal recommendation to the General Assembly before António Guterres’s term ends December 31.

A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$199,734
Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Apr 21, 2026, 2:19 PM ET

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 8 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Rebeca Grynspan" di 47%, diikuti oleh "Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett" di 15%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 47¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" telah menghasilkan $199.7K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Apr 21, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations," jelajahi 8 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" adalah "Rebeca Grynspan" di 47%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 47% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Carolyn Rodrigues-Birkett" di 15%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Next Secretary-General of the United Nations" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.