The Bank of Israel’s established easing bias and subdued inflation outlook are anchoring the 78.5% market-implied probability of a rate cut at its May 25 decision. After the January 25-basis-point reduction to 4%, the Monetary Committee paused in March amid a brief energy-driven CPI spike and geopolitical tensions, but one-year inflation expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0%, well inside the 1–3% target range. Staff forecasts project 2026 inflation at 1.7–2.2% and support a gradual path toward a 3.5% base case, while resilient yet non-inflationary growth reinforces the case for resuming cuts. April CPI data, due shortly, remains the key near-term catalyst that could either solidify or temper the current trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiBank of Israel Decision in May?
Decrease 79%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,274 Vol.
$41,274 Vol.
Decrease
79%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
Decrease 79%
No Change 20%
Increase <1%
$41,274 Vol.
$41,274 Vol.
Decrease
79%
No Change
20%
Increase
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Pasar Dibuka: Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Israel’s established easing bias and subdued inflation outlook are anchoring the 78.5% market-implied probability of a rate cut at its May 25 decision. After the January 25-basis-point reduction to 4%, the Monetary Committee paused in March amid a brief energy-driven CPI spike and geopolitical tensions, but one-year inflation expectations have since stabilized near 1.5–2.0%, well inside the 1–3% target range. Staff forecasts project 2026 inflation at 1.7–2.2% and support a gradual path toward a 3.5% base case, while resilient yet non-inflationary growth reinforces the case for resuming cuts. April CPI data, due shortly, remains the key near-term catalyst that could either solidify or temper the current trader consensus.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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