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icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Politik·Pemilihan Kolombia

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Politik·Pemilihan Kolombia

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

1st Round Outright Winner 7.5%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 7%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket

$11,604 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 85%

1st Round Outright Winner 7.5%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 7%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket

$11,604 Vol.

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$4,246 Vol.

85%

1st Round Outright Winner

$2,073 Vol.

7%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$2,488 Vol.

7%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$1,534 Vol.

<1%

Other

$1,263 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polling as the candidate most likely to advance from the May 31 first round, positioning him as the frontrunner in a contest shaped by voter preferences for continuity with the outgoing administration's agenda. Abelardo de la Espriella, running on a hard-line security platform under the National Salvation Movement, holds second place in surveys and has pulled ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center in the battle for runoff qualification. Recent campaign violence, including the killing of two de la Espriella staffers in Meta department, has underscored security concerns that dominate voter priorities two weeks before the vote. Traders assign high probability to a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff because current polling averages show no candidate near the 50 percent threshold for an outright win and de la Espriella maintaining a consistent edge over Valencia among conservative voters. Upcoming debates and final-week mobilization could still shift the narrow margins separating the right-wing contenders.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$11,604
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact leads recent polling as the candidate most likely to advance from the May 31 first round, positioning him as the frontrunner in a contest shaped by voter preferences for continuity with the outgoing administration's agenda. Abelardo de la Espriella, running on a hard-line security platform under the National Salvation Movement, holds second place in surveys and has pulled ahead of center-right rival Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center in the battle for runoff qualification. Recent campaign violence, including the killing of two de la Espriella staffers in Meta department, has underscored security concerns that dominate voter priorities two weeks before the vote. Traders assign high probability to a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff because current polling averages show no candidate near the 50 percent threshold for an outright win and de la Espriella maintaining a consistent edge over Valencia among conservative voters. Upcoming debates and final-week mobilization could still shift the narrow margins separating the right-wing contenders.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$11,604
Tanggal Berakhir
May 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro" di 85%, diikuti oleh "1st Round Outright Winner" di 7%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 85¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" telah menghasilkan $11.6K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada May 13, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" adalah "Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro" di 85%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 85% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "1st Round Outright Winner" di 7%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.