Ned Lamont's reelection as Connecticut's Democratic governor produced a margin near 18 points against Republican Ryan Fazio, aligning with the market's dominant 15-20% outcome. Pre-election polling averages consistently showed Lamont ahead by 13-20 points, reflecting the state's structural Democratic advantage, his moderate policy record as incumbent, and personal campaign resources. Final vote tallies through November 5 confirmed results in this range, with limited remaining ballots unlikely to alter the spread materially. Scenarios that could shift resolution outside this bracket include significant late-count adjustments or disputes, though historical certification patterns and current leads make such changes improbable.