Skip to main content

Untuk trading di AS, kunjungi polymarket.us

icon for Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Walikota

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner
Politik·Walikota

Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 6%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
BARU

Michelle Dracoulis 55%

Casey Farrell 15%

Jess Burns 6%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
BARU
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$477 Vol.

55%

icon for Casey Farrell

Casey Farrell

$438 Vol.

15%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$351 Vol.

6%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$138 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley Council mayor in Tasmania, leads trader pricing ahead of the October 27, 2026 local government election under the preferential voting system used for mayoral contests. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget adjustments returning the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO after a national recruitment process, have supported her position. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without a seconder. Lower probabilities assigned to challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall reflect limited public visibility or organized campaigns ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Trader consensus incorporates these governance and financial developments while noting the potential for late entries or preference flows to influence the outcome in this closely watched Tasmanian local race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,404
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis, the incumbent Derwent Valley Council mayor in Tasmania, leads trader pricing ahead of the October 27, 2026 local government election under the preferential voting system used for mayoral contests. Recent council actions under her leadership, including budget adjustments returning the authority to a projected surplus and the appointment of a new CEO after a national recruitment process, have supported her position. A November 2025 no-confidence motion against her lapsed without a seconder. Lower probabilities assigned to challengers such as Jess Burns and James Randall reflect limited public visibility or organized campaigns ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Trader consensus incorporates these governance and financial developments while noting the potential for late entries or preference flows to influence the outcome in this closely watched Tasmanian local race.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$1,404
Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 28, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Sumber Resolusi

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Terkait

icon for Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?

Will Stephanie Cameron win the next Meander Valley mayoral election?

54%
icon for Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?

Will Paul Gibson win the next Huon Valley mayoral election?

25%
icon for Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

Will Matthew Garwood win the next Launceston mayoral election?

54%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 4 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Michelle Dracoulis" di 55%, diikuti oleh "Casey Farrell" di 15%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 55¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

"Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" adalah pasar yang baru dibuat di Polymarket, diluncurkan pada Sep 3, 2026. Sebagai pasar awal, ini adalah kesempatanmu untuk menjadi salah satu trader pertama yang menetapkan peluang dan membangun sinyal harga awal pasar. Kamu juga bisa menandai halaman ini untuk melacak volume dan aktivitas trading seiring pasar mendapatkan traksi.

Untuk trading di "Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner," jelajahi 4 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" adalah "Michelle Dracoulis" di 55%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 55% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Casey Farrell" di 15%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Derwent Valley Mayoral Election Winner" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.