Skip to main content
icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie

Oscar Isaac – “Beef” 53%

Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” 18%

Riz Ahmed – “Bait” 8%

Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” 6.2%

Polymarket

$52,144 Vol.

Oscar Isaac – “Beef” 53%

Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me” 18%

Riz Ahmed – “Bait” 8%

Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit” 6.2%

Polymarket

$52,144 Vol.

Oscar Isaac – “Beef”

$7,061 Vol.

53%

Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”

$9,060 Vol.

18%

Riz Ahmed – “Bait”

$23,586 Vol.

8%

Jason Bateman – “Black Rabbit”

$10,433 Vol.

6%

Charlie Hunnam – “Monster: The Ed Gein Story”

$2,005 Vol.

4%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oscar Isaac leads trader consensus for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie with a 53.5% implied probability, fueled by Beef Season 2’s critical acclaim, 16 Emmy nominations including for the series itself, and strong industry narrative around his magnetic, layered performance opposite Carey Mulligan. Matthew Rhys sits at 18% on the strength of dual nods and positive reviews for The Beast in Me, while Riz Ahmed (8%), Jason Bateman (6.3%), and Charlie Hunnam (3.7%) trail amid solid but less dominant campaigns for Bait, Black Rabbit, and Monster: The Ed Gein Story. Guild and critics’ precursors have reinforced Beef’s momentum ahead of the ceremony, though late shifts in voter sentiment remain possible in this competitive field.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,144
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oscar Isaac leads trader consensus for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie with a 53.5% implied probability, fueled by Beef Season 2’s critical acclaim, 16 Emmy nominations including for the series itself, and strong industry narrative around his magnetic, layered performance opposite Carey Mulligan. Matthew Rhys sits at 18% on the strength of dual nods and positive reviews for The Beast in Me, while Riz Ahmed (8%), Jason Bateman (6.3%), and Charlie Hunnam (3.7%) trail amid solid but less dominant campaigns for Bait, Black Rabbit, and Monster: The Ed Gein Story. Guild and critics’ precursors have reinforced Beef’s momentum ahead of the ceremony, though late shifts in voter sentiment remain possible in this competitive field.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$52,144
Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 14, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jul 10, 2026, 12:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Terkait

icon for Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?

67%
icon for Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

45%
icon for Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?

Will “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?

57%

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "Oscar Isaac – “Beef”" di 53%, diikuti oleh "Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”" di 18%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 53¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" telah menghasilkan $52.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jul 10, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" adalah "Oscar Isaac – “Beef”" di 53%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 53% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "Matthew Rhys – “The Beast In Me”" di 18%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a limited or anthology series or movie" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.