Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$103,984 Vol.
$103,984 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
$103,984 Vol.
$103,984 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Pasar Dibuka: Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$103,984Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Volume
$103,984Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 87% implied probability against a Federal Reserve emergency rate cut before 2027, anchored by sustained economic resilience and the Fed's steady policy stance at the 3.5%-3.75% federal funds rate following its April 2026 meeting. Robust labor market data, with unemployment hovering near 4%, and subdued recession odds below 20% have quelled crisis fears, while rising Treasury yields—10-year at 4.48% and 30-year at 5.04%—signal persistent inflation pressures incompatible with aggressive easing. Markets now price 60-70% odds of zero cuts throughout 2026, emphasizing scheduled FOMC decisions over unscheduled interventions. Upcoming May jobs figures and the June meeting loom as pivotal tests, though financial stability metrics show no distress warranting emergency action.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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