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Teknologi·Gemini 3

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

icon for Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Teknologi·Gemini 3

Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?

Mar 31

Mar 31

$312,088 Vol.

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$312,088 Vol.

Polymarket

50%+

$84,408 Vol.

61%

55%+

$63,288 Vol.

27%

60%+

$17,951 Vol.

6%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google’s latest Gemini 3 Deep Think variant has driven strong trader sentiment by posting a record 48.4% on Humanity’s Last Exam, a demanding benchmark of expert-level questions across science, mathematics, and humanities designed to probe frontier AI reasoning. This score, released in mid-May 2026, surpasses OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro at 44.3% and places Google ahead in the competitive large language model landscape. Ongoing scaling of reasoning techniques and internal model iterations continue to lift Gemini’s performance trajectory, with historical patterns showing rapid gains between major releases. With June 30 only weeks away, any additional capability updates or benchmark re-evaluations could further shift market-implied odds on whether Gemini reaches an even higher threshold by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$312,088
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.Google’s latest Gemini 3 Deep Think variant has driven strong trader sentiment by posting a record 48.4% on Humanity’s Last Exam, a demanding benchmark of expert-level questions across science, mathematics, and humanities designed to probe frontier AI reasoning. This score, released in mid-May 2026, surpasses OpenAI’s GPT-5.4 Pro at 44.3% and places Google ahead in the competitive large language model landscape. Ongoing scaling of reasoning techniques and internal model iterations continue to lift Gemini’s performance trajectory, with historical patterns showing rapid gains between major releases. With June 30 only weeks away, any additional capability updates or benchmark re-evaluations could further shift market-implied odds on whether Gemini reaches an even higher threshold by the resolution date.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Volume
$312,088
Tanggal Berakhir
Mar 31, 2026
Pasar Dibuka
Jan 29, 2026, 12:50 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.

Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan

"Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" adalah pasar prediksi di Polymarket dengan 5 hasil yang mungkin di mana trader membeli dan menjual saham berdasarkan apa yang mereka yakini akan terjadi. Hasil terdepan saat ini adalah "40%+" di 100%, diikuti oleh "45%+" di 100%. Harga mencerminkan probabilitas crowd-sourced real-time. Misalnya, saham yang dihargai 100¢ menyiratkan bahwa pasar secara kolektif memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Peluang ini bergeser terus-menerus saat trader bereaksi terhadap perkembangan dan informasi baru. Saham dengan hasil yang benar bisa ditukarkan seharga $1 setiap saham saat pasar diselesaikan.

Per hari ini, "Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" telah menghasilkan $312.1K dalam total volume trading sejak pasar diluncurkan pada Jan 29, 2026. Tingkat aktivitas trading ini mencerminkan keterlibatan kuat dari komunitas Polymarket dan membantu memastikan bahwa peluang saat ini diinformasikan oleh kumpulan besar peserta pasar. Kamu bisa melacak pergerakan harga langsung dan trading di hasil apa pun langsung di halaman ini.

Untuk trading di "Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?," jelajahi 5 hasil yang tersedia di halaman ini. Setiap hasil menampilkan harga saat ini yang mewakili probabilitas tersirat pasar. Untuk mengambil posisi, pilih hasil yang menurutmu paling mungkin, pilih "Ya" untuk mendukungnya atau "Tidak" untuk menentangnya, masukkan jumlahmu, dan klik "Trade." Jika hasil pilihanmu benar saat pasar diselesaikan, saham "Ya" kamu membayar $1 masing-masing. Jika salah, mereka membayar $0. Kamu juga bisa menjual sahammu kapan saja sebelum resolusi jika kamu ingin mengamankan keuntungan atau memotong kerugian.

Unggulan saat ini untuk "Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" adalah "40%+" di 100%, yang berarti pasar memberikan peluang 100% pada hasil tersebut. Hasil terdekat berikutnya adalah "45%+" di 100%. Peluang ini diperbarui secara real-time saat trader membeli dan menjual saham, sehingga mencerminkan pandangan kolektif terbaru tentang apa yang paling mungkin terjadi. Cek kembali secara rutin atau tandai halaman ini untuk mengikuti bagaimana peluang bergeser saat informasi baru muncul.

Aturan resolusi untuk "Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?" mendefinisikan dengan tepat apa yang harus terjadi agar setiap hasil dinyatakan sebagai pemenang — termasuk sumber data resmi yang digunakan untuk menentukan hasilnya. Kamu bisa meninjau kriteria resolusi lengkap di bagian "Aturan" di halaman ini di atas komentar. Kami menyarankan membaca aturan dengan cermat sebelum trading, karena mereka menentukan kondisi tepat, kasus khusus, dan sumber yang mengatur bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan.