Trader consensus reflects the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster on a single cruise ship, which produced roughly 10 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths before rapid isolation and contact monitoring by CDC and WHO halted further spread. Hantaviruses primarily transmit from rodent reservoirs to humans, with sustained person-to-person transmission rare except under prolonged close contact, as seen in this limited event; official U.S. surveillance shows only about 890 cumulative cases since 1993, and 2025 Americas totals remained modest at 229 cases. No subsequent community-wide outbreaks or evidence of enhanced transmissibility have emerged by mid-August. Realistic shifts in odds would require documented mutation enabling efficient airborne spread or multiple large, uncontrolled clusters in endemic regions before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
4% peluang
$17,820,645 Vol.
$17,820,645 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
4% peluang
$17,820,645 Vol.
$17,820,645 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster on a single cruise ship, which produced roughly 10 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths before rapid isolation and contact monitoring by CDC and WHO halted further spread. Hantaviruses primarily transmit from rodent reservoirs to humans, with sustained person-to-person transmission rare except under prolonged close contact, as seen in this limited event; official U.S. surveillance shows only about 890 cumulative cases since 1993, and 2025 Americas totals remained modest at 229 cases. No subsequent community-wide outbreaks or evidence of enhanced transmissibility have emerged by mid-August. Realistic shifts in odds would require documented mutation enabling efficient airborne spread or multiple large, uncontrolled clusters in endemic regions before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Volume
$17,820,645Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster on a single cruise ship, which produced roughly 10 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths before rapid isolation and contact monitoring by CDC and WHO halted further spread. Hantaviruses primarily transmit from rodent reservoirs to humans, with sustained person-to-person transmission rare except under prolonged close contact, as seen in this limited event; official U.S. surveillance shows only about 890 cumulative cases since 1993, and 2025 Americas totals remained modest at 229 cases. No subsequent community-wide outbreaks or evidence of enhanced transmissibility have emerged by mid-August. Realistic shifts in odds would require documented mutation enabling efficient airborne spread or multiple large, uncontrolled clusters in endemic regions before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$17,820,645Tanggal Berakhir
Dec 31, 2026Pasar Dibuka
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects the contained nature of the May 2026 Andes virus cluster on a single cruise ship, which produced roughly 10 confirmed or suspected cases and three deaths before rapid isolation and contact monitoring by CDC and WHO halted further spread. Hantaviruses primarily transmit from rodent reservoirs to humans, with sustained person-to-person transmission rare except under prolonged close contact, as seen in this limited event; official U.S. surveillance shows only about 890 cumulative cases since 1993, and 2025 Americas totals remained modest at 229 cases. No subsequent community-wide outbreaks or evidence of enhanced transmissibility have emerged by mid-August. Realistic shifts in odds would require documented mutation enabling efficient airborne spread or multiple large, uncontrolled clusters in endemic regions before year-end.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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