**Latest forecast consensus from global and European models points to a daytime high of 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This setup favors peak temperatures in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities where 22°C leads at 55.5%, followed by 23°C (22%) and 21°C (18.5%). Historical averages for the date sit near 20.2°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth without extreme outliers. Model agreement remains high on the overall pattern, though small variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show a gradual warming trend as high pressure influences the region and precipitation chances drop, reinforcing trader positioning around the 21–23°C cluster. No major model runs have introduced significant cooling signals ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 6?
22°C 56%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
20°C 4%
BARU
$30,591 Vol.
BARU
$30,591 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
4%
21°C
19%
22°C
56%
23°C
22%
24°C
4%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 56%
23°C 22%
21°C 19%
20°C 4%
BARU
$30,591 Vol.
BARU
$30,591 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
16°C or below
$145 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$242 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$26,674 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$334 Vol.
2%
20°C
$429 Vol.
4%
21°C
$743 Vol.
19%
22°C
$834 Vol.
56%
23°C
$754 Vol.
22%
24°C
$169 Vol.
4%
25°C
$101 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$167 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast consensus from global and European models points to a daytime high of 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under partly cloudy skies and light winds.**
This setup favors peak temperatures in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities where 22°C leads at 55.5%, followed by 23°C (22%) and 21°C (18.5%). Historical averages for the date sit near 20.2°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth without extreme outliers.
Model agreement remains high on the overall pattern, though small variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show a gradual warming trend as high pressure influences the region and precipitation chances drop, reinforcing trader positioning around the 21–23°C cluster. No major model runs have introduced significant cooling signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,591Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest forecast consensus from global and European models points to a daytime high of 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under partly cloudy skies and light winds.**
This setup favors peak temperatures in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities where 22°C leads at 55.5%, followed by 23°C (22%) and 21°C (18.5%). Historical averages for the date sit near 20.2°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth without extreme outliers.
Model agreement remains high on the overall pattern, though small variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show a gradual warming trend as high pressure influences the region and precipitation chances drop, reinforcing trader positioning around the 21–23°C cluster. No major model runs have introduced significant cooling signals ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,591Tanggal Berakhir
Sep 6, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest forecast consensus from global and European models points to a daytime high of 22°C in Amsterdam on September 6, driven by southerly flow advecting milder air masses under partly cloudy skies and light winds.** This setup favors peak temperatures in the low-20s Celsius range, consistent with the market-implied probabilities where 22°C leads at 55.5%, followed by 23°C (22%) and 21°C (18.5%). Historical averages for the date sit near 20.2°C, so current guidance reflects above-normal warmth without extreme outliers. Model agreement remains high on the overall pattern, though small variations in cloud cover timing or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact maximum by 1°C. Recent observations from the past 48 hours show a gradual warming trend as high pressure influences the region and precipitation chances drop, reinforcing trader positioning around the 21–23°C cluster. No major model runs have introduced significant cooling signals ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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