Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily high near 30–31°C in Beijing on August 16 under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. This positions trader consensus around 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential light thundershowers, and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C. Historical mid-August climatology supports highs near 30°C, but short-term model spread on humidity and wind patterns widens implied probabilities across 26–30°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify radiative heating versus convective cooling effects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Beijing on August 16?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 16?
28°C 25%
27°C 18.9%
29°C 18%
30°C 13%
BARU
$27,729 Vol.
BARU
$27,729 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
19%
28°C
25%
29°C
18%
30°C
13%
31°C
6%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 25%
27°C 18.9%
29°C 18%
30°C 13%
BARU
$27,729 Vol.
BARU
$27,729 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
23°C or below
$387 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$392 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,625 Vol.
4%
26°C
$3,301 Vol.
9%
27°C
$2,127 Vol.
19%
28°C
$1,476 Vol.
25%
29°C
$2,328 Vol.
18%
30°C
$3,925 Vol.
13%
31°C
$5,735 Vol.
6%
32°C
$2,772 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$1,864 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily high near 30–31°C in Beijing on August 16 under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. This positions trader consensus around 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential light thundershowers, and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C. Historical mid-August climatology supports highs near 30°C, but short-term model spread on humidity and wind patterns widens implied probabilities across 26–30°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify radiative heating versus convective cooling effects.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$27,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily high near 30–31°C in Beijing on August 16 under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. This positions trader consensus around 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential light thundershowers, and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C. Historical mid-August climatology supports highs near 30°C, but short-term model spread on humidity and wind patterns widens implied probabilities across 26–30°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify radiative heating versus convective cooling effects.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,729Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 16, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate a daily high near 30–31°C in Beijing on August 16 under the influence of the western Pacific subtropical high and lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. This positions trader consensus around 27–29°C as the most probable range, reflecting uncertainty from variable cloud cover, potential light thundershowers, and boundary-layer mixing that can suppress peak temperatures by 1–3°C. Historical mid-August climatology supports highs near 30°C, but short-term model spread on humidity and wind patterns widens implied probabilities across 26–30°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the 24-hour window will clarify radiative heating versus convective cooling effects.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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