Short-term forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Shanghai on August 16, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, broken cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Model consensus shows light easterly winds and passing precipitation moderating peak values below seasonal norms near 32°C, while afternoon instability could push readings slightly higher in urban heat islands. The tight 47–37.5% split between 30°C and 31°C reflects minor uncertainties in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on official observations rather than long-range projections. Traders weigh these variables against typical August patterns of muggy warmth punctuated by convective activity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 16?
30°C 48%
31°C 38%
29°C 10%
32°C 6%
$23,740 Vol.
$23,740 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
48%
31°C
38%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
31°C 38%
29°C 10%
32°C 6%
$23,740 Vol.
$23,740 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
48%
31°C
38%
32°C
6%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature of 30–31°C in Shanghai on August 16, driven by subtropical monsoon conditions with high humidity, broken cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Model consensus shows light easterly winds and passing precipitation moderating peak values below seasonal norms near 32°C, while afternoon instability could push readings slightly higher in urban heat islands. The tight 47–37.5% split between 30°C and 31°C reflects minor uncertainties in rainfall timing and boundary-layer moisture, with resolution hinging on official observations rather than long-range projections. Traders weigh these variables against typical August patterns of muggy warmth punctuated by convective activity.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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