Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on August 15, 2026, under sunny intervals and light winds, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with recent cooling after mid-week peaks near 30°C or higher, as a fresher Atlantic air mass moved in. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 26–27°C, with low probability of reaching 28°C due to modest insolation and typical urban heat island effects. Traders have priced this consensus heavily into the 27°C outcome, reflecting confidence in official short-range forecasts that rarely deviate significantly on the day of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Highest temperature in London on August 15?
26°C 54%
27°C 35%
28°C 6%
25°C 6%
$111,642 Vol.
$111,642 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
6%
26°C
54%
27°C
35%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 54%
27°C 35%
28°C 6%
25°C 6%
$111,642 Vol.
$111,642 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$3,481 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,461 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$4,951 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15,069 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$14,742 Vol.
6%
26°C
$17,764 Vol.
54%
27°C
$14,127 Vol.
35%
28°C
$13,037 Vol.
6%
29°C
$13,825 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$12,548 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on August 15, 2026, under sunny intervals and light winds, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with recent cooling after mid-week peaks near 30°C or higher, as a fresher Atlantic air mass moved in. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 26–27°C, with low probability of reaching 28°C due to modest insolation and typical urban heat island effects. Traders have priced this consensus heavily into the 27°C outcome, reflecting confidence in official short-range forecasts that rarely deviate significantly on the day of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$111,642Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on August 15, 2026, under sunny intervals and light winds, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with recent cooling after mid-week peaks near 30°C or higher, as a fresher Atlantic air mass moved in. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 26–27°C, with low probability of reaching 28°C due to modest insolation and typical urban heat island effects. Traders have priced this consensus heavily into the 27°C outcome, reflecting confidence in official short-range forecasts that rarely deviate significantly on the day of the event.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$111,642Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the Met Office indicate a maximum of 27°C for London on August 15, 2026, under sunny intervals and light winds, with minimal cloud cover limiting further warming. This aligns with recent cooling after mid-week peaks near 30°C or higher, as a fresher Atlantic air mass moved in. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 26–27°C, with low probability of reaching 28°C due to modest insolation and typical urban heat island effects. Traders have priced this consensus heavily into the 27°C outcome, reflecting confidence in official short-range forecasts that rarely deviate significantly on the day of the event.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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