Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 26°C at its headquarters on August 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. In subtropical August conditions, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minimums near the seasonal urban average of 26–28°C; the recorded value aligns with this baseline and recent model guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of HKO’s standardized measurements, which resolve the market. Only an unreported station-specific anomaly, post-hoc data revision, or definitional dispute over the exact observation window could realistically alter the result, though such events remain rare for this established source.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 99.9%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$44,909 Vol.
$44,909 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.9%
25°C <1%
27°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$44,909 Vol.
$44,909 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$723 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5,016 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,312 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,985 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$12,027 Vol.
100%
27°C
$8,410 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,934 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$2,561 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,073 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$430 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$440 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 26°C at its headquarters on August 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. In subtropical August conditions, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minimums near the seasonal urban average of 26–28°C; the recorded value aligns with this baseline and recent model guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of HKO’s standardized measurements, which resolve the market. Only an unreported station-specific anomaly, post-hoc data revision, or definitional dispute over the exact observation window could realistically alter the result, though such events remain rare for this established source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$44,909Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 26°C at its headquarters on August 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. In subtropical August conditions, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minimums near the seasonal urban average of 26–28°C; the recorded value aligns with this baseline and recent model guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of HKO’s standardized measurements, which resolve the market. Only an unreported station-specific anomaly, post-hoc data revision, or definitional dispute over the exact observation window could realistically alter the result, though such events remain rare for this established source.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$44,909Tanggal Berakhir
Aug 15, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum air temperature of 26°C at its headquarters on August 15, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied probability for that outcome. In subtropical August conditions, overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light winds typically produces minimums near the seasonal urban average of 26–28°C; the recorded value aligns with this baseline and recent model guidance showing limited nocturnal cooling. Trader consensus reflects the reliability of HKO’s standardized measurements, which resolve the market. Only an unreported station-specific anomaly, post-hoc data revision, or definitional dispute over the exact observation window could realistically alter the result, though such events remain rare for this established source.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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