Official forecasts from MetService project a daytime maximum near 8–9°C for Wellington on August 16, driven by strong southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air and persistent low cloud that limits solar warming. This aligns with seasonal August averages of 12–13°C but reflects below-average conditions amid a broader pattern of near- or below-average temperatures across the region. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, positioning 10°C as the dominant outcome in trader pricing while leaving modest room for 11°C if winds ease. Upcoming MetService and NIWA updates will refine these short-term dynamics ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiHighest temperature in Wellington on August 16?
10°C 90%
11°C 10%
12°C 1.3%
4°C or below <1%
$50,970 Vol.
$50,970 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
90%
11°C
10%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
10°C 90%
11°C 10%
12°C 1.3%
4°C or below <1%
$50,970 Vol.
$50,970 Vol.
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
90%
11°C
10%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService project a daytime maximum near 8–9°C for Wellington on August 16, driven by strong southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air and persistent low cloud that limits solar warming. This aligns with seasonal August averages of 12–13°C but reflects below-average conditions amid a broader pattern of near- or below-average temperatures across the region. Model consensus supports limited diurnal rise, positioning 10°C as the dominant outcome in trader pricing while leaving modest room for 11°C if winds ease. Upcoming MetService and NIWA updates will refine these short-term dynamics ahead of resolution.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui


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