Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to a minimum temperature of 81–82°F on August 16, consistent with the strong market weighting on the 80–83°F range. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 78°F, yet persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points, and the urban heat island effect have kept recent daily minima at 81–82°F. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight, while model consensus favors partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Updated NWS point forecasts through the weekend continue to show lows locked in the low 80s, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 84°F or below 80°F remain lower-probability outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering winds or cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiLowest temperature in Miami on August 16?
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 19%
76-77°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 48%
80-81°F 29%
84-85°F 19%
76-77°F 5%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
29%
82-83°F
48%
84-85°F
19%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 14, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Sumber Resolusi
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami International Airport points to a minimum temperature of 81–82°F on August 16, consistent with the strong market weighting on the 80–83°F range. Mid-August climatology features average overnight lows near 78°F, yet persistent southeasterly flow, elevated dew points, and the urban heat island effect have kept recent daily minima at 81–82°F. No significant frontal passage or tropical moisture surge is expected to enhance radiational cooling overnight, while model consensus favors partly cloudy skies that limit further temperature drops. Updated NWS point forecasts through the weekend continue to show lows locked in the low 80s, reinforcing trader consensus that values above 84°F or below 80°F remain lower-probability outliers absent an unexpected shift in steering winds or cloud cover.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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